
Florida vs Tennessee Prediction 3/16/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Tennessee (27-6) vs. Florida (29-4)
March 16, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -5.5; Over/Under: 144.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Florida Gators and Tennessee Volunteers meet on Sunday in college basketball action at Bridgestone Arena. Here’s a Florida vs Tennessee prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Tennessee Pick.
Tennessee Volunteers Betting Preview
The Tennessee Volunteers (27-6, 17-15-1 ATS) concluded the regular season with five wins in six games. They were on a four-game winning streak when Ole Miss stopped them from getting the fifth in a row, but Tennessee returned to winning ways against South Carolina. The Volunteers clinched the No. 4 seed for the SEC tournaments and defeated Texas and Auburn to reach the finals.
Tennessee averages 74.8 PPG (155th) and allows 62.3 PPG (8th). The Volunteers are 103rd in rebounds (37.1) and 65th in assists (15.8). Chaz Lanier leads the team with 18.1 PPG and 3.8 RPG. Zakai Zeigler follows him with 13.3 PPG, 3.0 RPG, a team-high 7.4 APG, and a team-high 1.9 SPG, while Jordan Gainey chips in 10.9 PPG, 3.3 RPG, 2.0 APG, and 1.1 SPG.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators (29-4, 25-8 ATS) were in excellent form entering the SEC tournament as they won nine of the last ten regular-season games. The lone loss came to Georgia, after which Florida bounced back with victories over Texas A&M, Alabama, and Ole Miss to secure the No. 2 seed. The Gators had an easy job against Missouri and Alabama in the previous two rounds of the tournament.
Florida is averaging 84.8 PPG (8th) and is allowing 68.6 PPG (74th). The Gators are getting 42.1 RPG (4th) and dish out 16.0 APG (56th). Walter Clayton Jr. is the team’s top performer with 17.3 PPG, 3.7 RPG, a team-high 4.4 APG, and 1.3 SPG. Alijah Martin has 14.6 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 2.4 APG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG, while Will Richard contributes 13.4 PPG, 4.6 RPG, and 1.7 SPG.
Why Tennessee will beat Florida
- Tennessee has won seven of its last eight games.
Why Florida will beat Tennessee
- Florida has won each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Tennessee has lost three of its last four games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Tennessee has lost the first half in three of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Florida’s last 12 games have produced a total of 144+ points.
- Each of Tennessee’s last eight games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for net rating this season (+23.3).
- Florida ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.2).
- Tennessee ranks 7th among Division 1 teams for opponent points per game this season (61.9).
- Tennessee ranks 10th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goals made per game this season (21.5).
Florida vs Tennessee Prediction
Tennessee won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last seven. The series is tied at 1-1 this season; Florida destroyed Tennessee 73-63 in January, while Tennessee secured an easy 64-44 win in February. Eight of the last ten H2Hs went Under and each of the previous four. I expect another low-scoring affair on Sunday even though Florida has been outstanding offensively so far at the tournament. Tennessee managed to keep one of the best teams in the country, Auburn, to 65 points in the semis, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Vols limit the Gators to below 70 in this one. Tennessee has no chance if this turns out to be a classic shootout. Go with Under.