Florida vs Texas Tech Prediction 3/29/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Texas Tech (28-8) vs. Florida (33-4)
March 29, 2025 6:09 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -6.5; Over/Under: 156.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Florida Gators meet Saturday in the college basketball Elite Eight at the Chase Center. Here’s a Florida vs Texas Tech Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs Texas Tech Pick.
Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat UNC Wilmington, Drake, and Arkansas to get to this point. Texas Tech looks to make its second Final Four and first since 2019. Texas Tech is 17-4 since January 14.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders are averaging 80.9 points on 47 percent shooting and allowing 67.6 points on 42.6 percent shooting. JT Toppin is averaging 18.2 points and 1.2 assists, while Chance McMillian is averaging 14.2 points and 4.1 rebounds. Darrion Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Christian Anderson is grabbing 3 rebounds. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are shooting 37.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators beat Norfolk State, UCONN, and Maryland to make the Elite Eight. Florida has won each of its last nine games overall. Florida looks to make its sixth Final Four and first since 2014.
The Florida Gators are averaging 85.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 69.3 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 17.7 points and 3.7 rebounds, while Alijah Martin is averaging 14.6 points and 4.5 rebounds. Will Richard is the third double-digit scorer and Alex Condon is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 16 games against non-Conference opponents.
- Texas Tech has lost each of its last seven games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
- Florida has won the first half in 14 of its last 15 games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win
- Texas Tech has won each of its last six day games.
- Florida has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference.
- Texas Tech has won the first half in each of its last eight day games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Texas Tech’s last 12 games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
- Each of Florida’s last six games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 158+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (42.4).
- Florida ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+16.3).
- Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (121.3).
- Texas Tech ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (99.9).
Florida vs Texas Tech Injury Report
Florida doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Chance McMillian and Eemeli Yalaho are questionable for Texas Tech due to upper-body injuries.
Florida vs Texas Tech Prediction
Texas Tech is a talented team that’s top-100 in scoring offense and scoring defense, and you don’t get the Red Raiders in the underdog role often. In fact, this will be just the sixth time this season where Texas Tech is an underdog. This is the second time this season where Texas Tech is an underdog of five or more points. So, I can understand why looking at the points is intriguing.
With that said, Texas Tech is lucky to be here after being down double-digits for much of the second half against Arkansas. If John Calipari was half the coach he was as a recruiter, Texas Tech would be home right now. Also, Florida not only has 33 wins but is 27-10 ATS on the season. Florida is the best team in the country on the court and one of the most profitable teams for CBB bettors. I’m not stepping in front of this Florida team due to its consistency on the court and against the spread. Give me the Gators to make their first Final Four in a decade.
