Florida vs UConn Prediction 3/23/25 College Basketball Picks Today
UConn (24-10) vs. Florida (31-4)
March 23, 2025 12:10 pm EDT
The Line: Florida -9.5; Over/Under: 150.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UConn Huskies and Florida Gators meet Sunday in the college basketball Second Round at the Lenovo Center. Here’s a Florida vs UConn Prediction. This article will include a Florida vs UConn Pick.
UConn Huskies Betting Preview
The UConn Huskies recently played Seton Hall, Villanova, Creighton, and Oklahoma. UConn has won 10 of its last 14 games.
The UConn Huskies are averaging 77.4 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 68 points on 42.3 percent shooting. Solo Ball is averaging 14.6 points and 3.6 rebounds, while Liam McNeeley is averaging 14.2 points and 2.2 assists. Alex Karaban is the third double-digit scorer and Tarris Reed Jr. is grabbing 7.3 rebounds. The UConn Huskies are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 79.1 percent from the free throw line. The UConn Huskies are allowing 35.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game.
Florida Gators Betting Preview
The Florida Gators recently beat Missouri, Alabama, Tennessee, and Norfolk State. Florida has won seven straight games and has lost once since February 4.
The Florida Gators are averaging 85.4 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 69.3 points on 39.8 percent shooting. Walter Clayton Jr. is averaging 17.7 points and 3.8 rebounds, while Alijah Martin is averaging 14.5 points and 4.5 rebounds. Will Richard is the third double-digit scorer and Alex Condon is grabbing 7.8 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 35.5 percent from beyond the arc and 71.8 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 29.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.1 rebounds per game.
Why the Florida Gators will win
- Florida has won each of its last 14 games against non-Conference opponents.
- Connecticut has lost 22 of its last 25 day games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Florida has won the first half in each of its last 13 games against non-Conference opponents.
Why the Connecticut Huskies will win
- Connecticut has won each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Florida has lost four of its last five games against the Big East Conference.
- Connecticut has won the first half in each of its last 13 games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Connecticut’s last 12 games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
- Each of Florida’s last nine day games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Florida ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (42.4).
- Florida ranks 4th among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+16.3).
- Connecticut ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.5).
- Connecticut ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for assists per game this season (17.9).
Florida vs UConn Injury Report
UConn doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Florida will continue to be without Sam Alexis due to an undisclosed issue.
Florida vs UConn Prediction
Florida is easily the better, more balanced team and should win. I believe Florida is the best team in the country and was my pick to win the title. The line is accurate and with Florida being 26-9 ATS on the season, a cover and comfortable win wouldn’t be shocking. However, UCONN has played decent ball over the last couple of weeks, the defense has been better, and it’s healthy. Dan Hurley is able to get his guys up for tournament games, and these guys have a certain type of swagger come March.
There’s just something about UConn that makes the Huskies hard to bet against this time of year. Also, UConn has won all five games against Florida, three of which came as an underdog. We saw in 2014 when UConn beat Florida in the Final Four as a seven-point underdog. The Gators were a number one seed as well. I’m not saying UConn wins, but I want the points in my pocket.
