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Fresno State vs Utah State Prediction 2/7/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Utah State (20-3) vs. Fresno State (5-18)
February 7, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Fresno State +13; Over/Under: 155
(Get latest betting odds)

The Utah State Aggies and the Fresno State Bulldogs meet Friday in college basketball action from Save Mart Center. Here’s a Fresno State vs Utah State prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Fresno State vs Utah State pick.

Utah State Aggies Betting Preview

Utah State has been a highly consistent team this year. They’re yet to lose consecutive games. The Aggies took out Alcorn State, Charlotte, Westminster UT, Montana, Iowa, St. Bonaventure, North Texas, Wyoming, Utah Tech, and South Florida in their first 10 games before a loss to UC San Diego. A 9-1 run came next with a loss to UNLV among wins over Saint Mary’s, San Diego State, Nevada, Fresno State, San Jose State, Boise State, Nevada, Air Force, and UNLV. Since then it’s been a loss to New Mexico ahead of a win over Wyoming. The result in the record column has been a 20-3 overall run for Utah State so far this season.


In the Wyoming matchup on Tuesday, the Aggies were down 35-30 in the locker room. Utah State came back for a 41-32 second half, however, notching the win in the end 71-67. The only starter to finish in double-figures was Ian Martinez with 19 points, four rebounds, two assists, and a steal. Drake Allen led the bench contributors with his 11 points, four boards, and two steals in 28 minutes, and Karson Templin chipped in with eight points and six rebounds.

Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Preview

Over on the Fresno State side, they got off to a reasonable start this year but haven’t been above the .500 mark since way back in late November. The Bulldogs beat Sacramento State, Prairie View, and Long Beach State (with losses to UC Santa Barbara and Cal State Bakersfield) in their first five outings, then hit losses to Washington State, Cal Baptist, San Diego State, Santa Clara, and BYU before another win over San Diego. Losses to Cal Baptist, UNLV, New Mexico, Utah State, Colorado State, and Nevada came next before a win over Air Force. Since then it’s been five straight losses to New Mexico, Colorado State, Wyoming, Boise State, and San Jose State, giving the Bulldogs an ugly 5-18 overall record through 23 games this year.

In the San Jose State matchup on Tuesday, the Bulldogs were within two points going into the second half. Fresno State managed to force overtime with 38 points in the second, but eventually lost after two extra periods 94-91 in a tough outcome. Jalen Weaver led the way on 23 points with six rebounds and five assists. Zaon Collins added 22 points with eight boards and six assists alongside three steals. Tops off the bench was Brian Amuneke with his 19 points, seven rebounds, and four steals in 41 minutes on the court.

Why the Fresno State Bulldogs will win

  • Fresno State has won five of its last six games at Save Mart Center following an overtime loss.
  • The home team has won the first half in five of Utah State’s last six games.

Why the Utah State Aggies will win

  • Fresno State has lost 12 of its last 13 games against the Mountain West Conference.
  • Utah State has won 12 of its last 13 games against Fresno State.
  • Utah State has won the first half in seven of its last eight games at Save Mart Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Fresno State vs Utah State Prediction

I’m going to stay with Utah State. Probably not touching this one, though. The Aggies recovered well after their ugly loss to New Mexico and a slow start in the Wyoming game. Utah State didn’t shoot particularly well against the Cowboys (40.7 percent) but did capitalize on mistakes with 18 points off 14 turnovers. Outside of that, it was a fairly shaky road win. Still, when Utah State hits the 70s on the scoreboard they’re usually good for a victory this year. They’ve got 71 or more points in four of the last five—with all four being wins.

These teams last saw each other on January 4 in a too-close-for-comfort 89-83 home win for the Aggies. Utah State shot well (48.4 percent) in that one but also gave up 48.3 percent on the other side and got out-rebounded 40-35. The Aggies desperately need a dominant showing here in the rematch and I think they’ll get it. That said, I’m probably staying away in reality. The Aggies just aren’t looking spectacular over the last couple of games.

Andrew's Free Pick: Utah State Aggies -13

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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