George Mason vs Liberty Prediction 3/17/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a George Mason vs Liberty prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, March 17th at EagleBank Arena in Fairfax, Virginia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NIT matchup.

George Mason Patriots Betting Preview

The George Mason Patriots are 23-9 (11-7) this season after they lost to St. Bonaventure by a score of 63-57 in their last game. George Mason led 34-24 at halftime, but they were outscored 39-23 in the second half for the terrible loss. The Patriots shot 42% from the field, 25% on three pointers, and 50% on free throws in the game. Jahari Long led George Mason with 17 points and three rebounds, while Kory Mincy added 12 points and five rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, George Mason defeated St. Louis by a score of 86-57, but lost to VCU by a score of 70-65 before that. The Patriots have scored 73.3 points per game with 34.8 rebounds and 12.7 assists per game, while they have allowed 67.5 points against per game this season. Kory Mincy is averaging 14.3 points and 3.5 rebounds per game, while Riley Allenspach is averaging 13.7 points and 6.1 rebounds per game for the Patriots. George Mason is shooting 47.5% from the field, 72.8% on free throws, and 34.1% on three pointers this season. 

Liberty Flames Betting Preview

The Liberty Flames are 25-7 (17-3) this year after they lost to Missouri State by a score of 77-69 in their last game. Liberty led 37-33 at halftime, but they allowed 44 points in the second half for the loss. The Flames shot 43% from the field, 29% on three pointers, and 67% on free throws in the game. Zach Cleveland led Liberty with 20 points and 14 rebounds, while Brett Decker Jr added 14 points and three rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Liberty defeated Sam Houston by a score of 79-72, but lost to Louisiana Tech by a score of 76-71 before that. The Flames have scored 78.2 points per game with 29.1 rebounds and 17.2 assists per game, while they have allowed 70.4 points against per game this season. Brett Decker Jr is averaging 16.8 points and 2.6 rebounds per game, while Kaden Metheny is averaging 13.4 points and 3.1 assists per game for the Flames. Liberty is shooting 51.4% from the field, 70.5% on free throws, and 39.8% on three pointers this season. 

Why the George Mason Patriots will win

• George Mason has won each of its last nine games against non-Conference opponents at EagleBank Arena.
• George Mason has won the first half in each of its last seven Tuesday home games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Liberty Flames will win

• Liberty has won 10 of its last 11 road games.
• George Mason has lost six of its last seven games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Liberty has won the first half in each of its last nine Tuesday games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of George Mason’s last five games have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
• Each of Liberty’s last five games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• George Mason ranks T14th among Division 1 teams for opponent free throws made per game this season (11.1).
• George Mason ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (30.9).
• Liberty ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (61.6%).
• Liberty ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (63.9%).

George Mason vs Liberty Prediction 

George Mason started the season with a great record through the first couple of months, but they really struggled over the last two months. The Patriots are shooting 47% from the field and they have scored 65 points or fewer in three of their last five. Liberty is shooting 51% from the field and they have scored 79+ in two of their last four. The Flames were the best team in CUSA this year and I think they will be ready to play in this one, while George Mason may start slow after another second half collapse in their last game. Take Liberty and the points here.