Grambling State (1-0) vs. Texas (2-0)
November 9, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Texas -37.5; Over/Under: 153.5
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Grambling vs Texas Prediction
In this Grambling vs Texas Prediction, Texas A&M is coming as -37.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming wins in their previous games and Texas has been undefeated this season and has covered the spread in both games, winning by 50 and 48 points respectively. The Longhorns have been terrific to start the season, ranking on the top-40 of the entire country both offensively and defensively, and will face a Grambling team that despite its win, allowed 87 points and its opponents shot with 45%+ from beyond the arc. I will not step in front of that Texas train right now, so take Texas and lay the points at home for another comfortable win.
Texas Longhorns Preview
The Texas Longhorns have a 2-0 overall record and a 2-0 home record. They are coming off a 98-50 home win against Gardner-Webb and will face Baylor and Southern Utah next.
Offensively, they are averaging 103.5 points per game (ranking 17th in the nation), while allowing 54.5 points per game defensively (ranking 38th in the nation) and have a 145.9 offensive rating (ranking 3rd) and a 76.8 defensive rating (ranking 43rd). The Longhorns are shooting 61.7% from the field (ranking 4th) and 43.2% from beyond the arc (ranking 37th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 36.8% from the field (ranking 100th) and 25.6% from the 3-point range (ranking 86th). They are shooting with a 72.7% from the free-throw line (ranking 117th). They are grabbing 40.5 rebounds per game (ranking 135th) and allow 22.5 rebounds per game off their opponents (6th), while averaging 19.5 assists per game (ranking 65th) and allowing their opponents to dish 9 assists per game (44th). They average 4.5 blocks per game (ranking 110th) and 10.5 steals per game (ranking 79th), while committing 10 turnovers per game (ranking 62nd) and forcing their opponents into 19 turnovers per game (ranking 48th).
Matas Vokietaitis leads Texas in scoring, averaging 19 ppg on 88.2% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 6.5 rebounds per game. Isaiah Johnson follows with 16.5 ppg on 60% shooting from the field. Joe Sterling follows with 13.5 ppg on 66.7% shooting from the field. Austin Goosby leads the team in assists with 5.5 per game.
Grambling Tigers Preview
The Grambling Tigers have a 1-0 overall record and are coming off a 89-87 neutral win against Northern Illinois and will face Kentucky and Southern Mississippi next.
Offensively, they are averaging 89 points per game (ranking 92nd in the nation), while allowing 87 points per game defensively (ranking 322nd in the nation) and have a 130.7 offensive rating (ranking 39th) and a 127.7 defensive rating (ranking 346th). The Tigers are shooting 64% from the field (ranking 1st) and 38.5% from beyond the arc (ranking 76th), while allowing their opponents to shoot with 46.7% from the field (ranking 282nd) and 45.2% from the 3-point range (ranking 357th). They are shooting with a 69% from the free-throw line (ranking 193rd). They are grabbing 28 rebounds per game (ranking 343rd) and allow 27 rebounds per game off their opponents (23rd), while averaging 15 assists per game (ranking 183rd) and allowing their opponents to dish 16 assists per game (280th). They average 4 blocks per game (ranking 129th) and 4 steals per game (ranking 339th), while committing 9 turnovers per game (ranking 33rd) and forcing their opponents into 8 turnovers per game (ranking 352nd).
Isaiah Miranda leads Grambling in scoring, averaging 29 ppg on 83.3% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 8 rebounds per game. Dwayne Pierce follows with 19 ppg on 53.3% shooting from the field, also adding a team-high 8 assists per game. Isaiah Howard follows with 13 ppg on 50% shooting from the field.
Grambling State Tigers @ Texas Longhorns Betting Trends: November 9, 2026
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Texas has won each of its last 10 games as a top-10 AP-ranked team at Moody Center.
- Grambling State has lost each of its last three games against the Southeastern Conference.
- Grambling State has lost the first half in each of its last three road games against AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Grambling State Tigers will win
- Grambling State has won three of its last four games.
Total Points Facts
- Ten of Grambling State’s last 11 night games have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
- Five of Texas’ last six night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Moody Center have produced a total of 159+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Texas ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (71.8%).
- Texas ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (0.5).
- Grambling State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for true shooting percentage this season (70.9%).
- Grambling State ranks 363rd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (13.0).
Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Texas -37.5
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