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Houston vs Baylor Prediction 3/4/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Baylor (15-14) vs. Houston (24-5)
March 4, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Houston -15.5; Over/Under: 141.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Baylor Bears and Houston Cougars meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the People’sBank Arena. Here’s a Houston vs. Baylor prediction. This article will include a Houston vs. Baylor pick.

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears lost to Arizona and beat UCF, and they play Utah next. Baylor has lost 5 of its last 7 games.

The Baylor Bears are averaging 85.6 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 79.7 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Cameron Carr is averaging 19.2 points and 5.6 rebounds, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 17.6 points and 5.7 rebounds. Obi Agbim is the third double-digit scorer and Isaac Williams IV is grabbing 2.2 rebounds. The Baylor Bears are shooting 4.8 percent from beyond the arc and 72.6 percent from the free throw line. The Baylor Bears are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.1 rebounds per game.

Houston Cougars Betting Preview

The Houston Cougars lost to Kansas and beat Colorado, and they play Oklahoma State next. Houston has won 7 of its last 10 games.

The Houston Cougars are averaging 77.5 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 62.3 points on 40.2 percent shooting. Kingston Flemings is averaging 16.4 points and 3.9 rebounds, while Emanuel Sharp is averaging 15.8 points and 3 rebounds. Milos Uzan is the third double-digit scorer and Chris Cenac Jr. is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Houston Cougars are shooting 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.5 percent from the free throw line. The Houston Cougars are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.7 rebounds per game.

Why the Houston Cougars will win

  • Houston has won each of its last 66 night games at the Fertitta Center.
  • Baylor has lost each of its last 14 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Houston has won the first half in each of its last 49 night games at Fertitta Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

  • Houston has lost three of its last four games.
  • The road team has won three of the last four games between Baylor and Houston.
  • Houston has lost the first half in three of its last four games.

Total Points: Facts

  • Twenty of Houston’s last 21 night games at Fertitta Center have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
  • Eight of Baylor’s last nine night games have produced a total of 142+ points.

Houston vs Baylor Prediction

Baylor has moments where it competes but nothing with this team has been consistent. We’re talking about a group that recently lost to Kansas State by 16 points. Folks, you, I, and three of your friends could give Kansas State a run. Houston is coming off that rough three-game skid against three elite teams, and it has to be eager to rebound in hopes of building back the trust from the committee. We saw what happened to Colorado. I expect a similar result here. When Houston plays to its potential, a team like Baylor can’t hang. I’ll lay the bet with the Cougars.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Houston -15.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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