Illinois vs Texas Tech Prediction 11/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Illinois Fighting Illini meet Tuesday in college basketball action from State Farm Center. Here’s an Illinois vs Texas Tech prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Illinois vs Texas Tech pick.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Red Raiders have two games in the bag so far this year, with the first coming last Tuesday versus Lindenwood. In that one Texas Tech jumped out to a 58-30 halftime edge and cruised to the 98-60 home win with a 40-30 run in the second half. Topping the team in scoring was Christian Anderson with 34 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds. Donovan Atwell added 22 points with four boards in the winning effort, and Nolan Groves had seven points with 16 rebounds and three assists for the Red Raiders along the way.

In their second matchup of the year versus Sam Houston State, the Red Raiders were up by 10 points at halftime. Texas Tech closed on a 51-40 run and took another home win 98-77 in the end. JT Toppin was the team’s lead scorer this time with 31 points and 14 rebounds alongside four assists for a double-double. Atwell had 19 points with three rebounds, and Anderson chipped in 18 points with seven assists and two rebounds. Tyeree Bryan had 12 points with seven rebounds and one assist in 28 minutes during the winning effort as well.

Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview

Over on the Illinois side, they opened up versus Jackson State last Monday in their first game of the season. The Illini were up 60-27 by the half, then hit a 53-28 run from there in an eventual blowout win 113-55. Illinois’ top scorer in the blowout was Ben Humrichous with 21 points and five boards. David Mirkovic doubled up on 19 points with 14 rebounds, and Keaton Wagler added 18 points with six rebounds and four assists. Jake Davis chipped in 13 points, four rebounds and four assists in 28 minutes of work during the win as well.

Back on Friday in game two versus Florida Gulf Coast, the Illini jumped out to a 59-27 halftime lead. Illinois closed with a 54-43 run in the second half, cruising to the victory 113-70 in the end. Kylan Boswell topped the team on a double-double with 31 points and 10 rebounds alongside three assists. David Mirkovic added 17 points with 11 rebounds in a double-double of his own, and Keaton Wagler had 22 points with seven rebounds and three assists in the win.

Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Trends: November 11, 2025

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

• Illinois has won each of its last 10 night games against non-Conference opponents at State Farm Center.
• Texas Tech has lost six of its last seven games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Illinois has won the first half in each of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents at State Farm Center.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

• Texas Tech has won each of its last nine night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Illinois has lost eight of its last 10 games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
• Texas Tech has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 Tuesday games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eighteen of Texas Tech’s last 19 night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
• Each of Illinois’ last eight night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at State Farm Center have produced a total of 155 or fewer points.

Illinois vs Texas Tech Prediction

I’ll lean toward Texas Tech here, but you could make a case either way. Each team had a couple of pretty easy matchups to start the season, and now the difficult games begin. The Red Raiders made short work of Sam Houston in their latest win, notching 50 percent shooting from the field and 42.9 percent from 3-point range. Texas Tech had a 38-31 advantage on the boards but did get outscored in the paint 36-30 by the Bearkats. The 28-of-43 (65.1 percent) from the line could have been a bit better as well. The Red Raiders have scored exactly 98 points in each of their first two games this year.

As for Illinois, they got past Florida Gulf Coast thanks to 55.4 percent shooting, a nice 30-of-34 from the line (88.2 percent) and 51 rebounds in their latest win. The 48-28 in the paint was a nice stat as well. The Illini have scored exactly 113 points in each of their first two games, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see a hefty total here. That said, I like Texas Tech a little better cover-wise. Should be a really fun game to watch, though.