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Iowa State vs Texas Tech Prediction 2/28/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Texas Tech (21-7) vs. Iowa State (24-4)
February 28, 2026 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Iowa State -9.5; Over/Under: 146.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and Iowa State Cyclones meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Hilton Coliseum. Here’s an Iowa State vs. Texas Tech prediction. This article will include an Iowa State vs. Texas Tech pick.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

The Texas Tech Red Raiders beat Kansas State and Cincinnati, and they play TCU next. Texas Tech has won 10 of its last 13 games.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders are averaging 82.1 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 72.2 points on 43.7 percent shooting. JT Toppin is averaging 21.8 points and 2.1 assists, while Christian Anderson is averaging 19.6 points and 3.9 rebounds. Donovan Atwell is the third double-digit scorer, and LeJuan Watts is grabbing 6 rebounds. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 72 percent from the free throw line. The Texas Tech Red Raiders are allowing 31.3 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.6 rebounds per game.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Preview

The Iowa State Cyclones lost to BYU, beat Utah, and play Arizona next. Iowa State has won 8 of its last 10 games.

The Iowa State Cyclones are averaging 85.9 points on 50.1 percent shooting and allowing 67.4 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Milan Momcilovic is averaging 17.4 points and 1 assist, while Joshua Jefferson is averaging 16.6 points and 7.5 rebounds. Tamin Lipsey is the third double-digit scorer and Killyan Toure is grabbing 3.4 rebounds. The Iowa State Cyclones are shooting 39.2 percent from beyond the arc and 67 percent from the free throw line. The Iowa State Cyclones are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34 rebounds per game.

Why the Iowa State Cyclones will win

  • Iowa State has won each of its last 15 games at James H. Hilton Coliseum.
  • Texas Tech has lost seven of its last eight day games against top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Iowa State has won the first half in each of its last 10 home games.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won 12 of its last 13 day games against conference opponents.
  • Iowa State has lost seven of its last nine February games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
  • Texas Tech has won the first half in 13 of its last 15 games against conference opponents.

Total Points: Facts

  • Each of Texas Tech’s last six day games against AP-ranked opponents has produced a total of 153+ points.
  • Five of Iowa State’s last six games have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Iowa State vs Texas Tech Prediction

This is a lot of points to give a Texas Tech team that’s still good, but this is the true test without Toppin. Give credit for beating up on Cincinnati and Kansas State, but Iowa State in Ames is a different beast. We’ll see if the Red Raiders have the offensive pop to keep up without their best player. Iowa State is undefeated at home and a profitable 17-11 ATS on the season. We’re going to learn a lot about Texas Tech in this spot. I trust a healthier Iowa State side more. I’ll lay out the buckets.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Iowa State -9.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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