Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Prediction 3/4/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Prediction for this ASUN Championship 1st Round matchup on Wednesday, March 4^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Bellarmine Knights Preview

The Bellarmine Knights have a 12-18 overall record and a 7-11 record in the ASUN. They are coming off a 111-97 home win against Austin Peay and their previous three games were a 73-68 road loss against North Alabama, a 95-92 home loss against Eastern Kentucky and a 75-72 home loss against Lipscomb.

Offensively, Bellarmine averages 80.2 points per game, while allowing 81.6 points per game defensively. The Knights shoot with 52% from the field and grab 27.9 rebounds per game, while dishing out 15.1 assists per game. They average 1.6 blocks per game and 6.2 steals per game defensively.

Jack Karasinski leads Bellarmine in scoring, with an average of 21.3 points per game, while shooting with 56.1% from the field and 80% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 4.8 rebounds. Tyler Doyle leads the team in assists with 3.6 per game.

Jacksonville Dolphins Preview

The Jacksonville Dolphins have a 12-19 overall record and a 7-11 record in the ASUN. They are coming off an 85-61 road win against North Florida and their previous three games were an 89-85 home win against Stetson, a 65-61 home loss against Austin Peay and an 86-84 road loss against Florida Gulf Coast.

Offensively, Jacksonville averages 72.9 points per game, while allowing 73.1 points per game defensively. The Dolphins shoot with 46% from the field and grab 33.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 12 assists per game. They average 2.9 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.

Hayden Wood leads Jacksonville in scoring, with an average of 11.5 points per game, while shooting with 45% from the field and 70.7% from the free throw line. Jason Thirdkill Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 5.3 per game. Evan Sterck leads the team in assists with 3.1 per game.

Jacksonville Dolphins @ Bellarmine Knights Betting Trends: March 4, 2026

Why the Bellarmine Knights will win

• Bellarmine has won four of its last five Conference Tournament games.
• Jacksonville has lost three of its last four games at UNF Arena.
• Jacksonville has lost the first half in each of its last four Conference Tournament games.

Why the Jacksonville Dolphins will win

• Bellarmine has lost five of its last six games.
• Bellarmine has lost the first half in four of its last five games.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bellarmine ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (39.3%).
• Bellarmine is the only team to rank in the top-five for both field goal percentage and free throw percentage this season.
• Jacksonville ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (30.9).
• Jacksonville ranks 22nd among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point field goal attempts per game this season (19.1).

Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Prediction

In this Jacksonville vs Bellarmine Prediction, Bellarmine is coming as -1.5 favorites. Both teams have almost identical overall records this season but Bellarmine has been far better against the spread, with a 18-10 ATS record, compared to Jacksonville’s 13-16. Bellarmine has been struggling lately with 1-5 record in its last 6 games, while Jacksonville is coming off back-to-back wins following a 1-6 losing skid. Bellarmine is 7-2 in its last 9 head-to-head matches against Jacksonville, having won their previous meeting this season by 7 points on the road. They also have a superior offense and I expect them to take care of business at home and win this one, so take Bellarmine on the moneyline.