Kansas State vs Arizona State Prediction 3/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Arizona State Sun Devils and the Kansas State Wildcats meet Tuesday in college basketball action from the T-Mobile Center. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas State vs Arizona State Prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams split the meetings in the regular season, with the road team winning and covering outright as underdogs in both meetings. Kansas State won at Arizona State back on February 4^th, 2025, by a final score of 71-70 before Arizona State got their revenge by a final score of 66-54 on February 23^rd, 2025.

Arizona State Recap

The Arizona State Sun Devils come into the conference tournament as the 15-seed, finishing with an overall record of 13-18 on the year, including a 4-16 mark in Big 12 conference play.

Sun Devils Looking To Spring Upset In Opener

Alston Mason leads the Sun Devils in scoring and assists with 13.4 PPG and 4 APG along with 2.6 RPG while Basheer Jihad has 12.5 PPG with 5.5 RPG on the year. Joson Sanon has 11.9 PPG with 3.3 RPG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Arizona State so far this season. Adam Miller has 9.8 PPG with 2.3 RPG while Jayden Quaintance also has 9.4 PPG with a team-high 7.9 RPG to lead the Sun Devils in rebounding, but is dealing with an injury and may miss this game. As a team, Arizona State is averaging 74.2 PPG on 44% shooting from the field, 36.1% from three, and 72.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the Arizona State Sun Devils will win

• Arizona State has won each of its last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Kansas State has lost four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference at T-Mobile Center.

Kansas State Recap

The Kansas State Wildcats come into the conference tournament as the 10-seed, finishing the year with a record of 15-16 on the year and 9-11 in Big 12 conference play.

Wildcats Looking To Make Noise In Big 12 Tournament

David N’Guessan leads the Wildcats in scoring with 13.3 PPG and 7.2 RPG while Brendan Hausen has 11.2 PPG. Coleman Hawkins has 10.4 PPG with 6.9 RPG and 4.5 APG and Dug McDaniel has 11.3 PPG with 2.6 RPG and 4.9 APG of his own to own the team lead in assists so far this season. Max Jones has 10 PPG with 4 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Kansas State up to this point in the season. As a team, Kansas State is averaging 71.5 PPG on 44.2% shooting from the field, 33.1% from three, and 69.1% from the foul line this season.

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

• Arizona State has lost each of its last seven night games.
• Kansas State has won 12 of its last 13 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Arizona State’s last four games against Conference opponents at neutral venues has produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
• Eleven of Kansas State’s last 13 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 140 or fewer points.

Kansas State vs Arizona State Prediction

I’m on Kansas State here. I get the case to be made for Arizona State, who looked a lot better In the rematch between these two teams this season. However, I still have concerns about Arizona State, who dismissed one of their top scorers BJ Freeman earlier this year and also lost their best big Jayden Quaintance because of injury. Kansas State peaked earlier in the year, but I still think this is a decent K-State team that is the better team by a fair margin in this matchup. Give me the Wildcats here.