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Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction 2/17/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Baylor (13-12) vs. Kansas State (10-15)
February 17, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas State +4.5; Over/Under: 161.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Kansas State vs Baylor prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 17th at Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, Kansas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kansas State Wildcats are 10-15 (1-11) this year after they lost to Houston by a score of 78-64 in their last game. Kansas State trailed 33-19 at halftime, but they did score 45 points in the second half in the loss. The Wildcats shot 35% from the field, 31% on three pointers, and 64% on free throws in the game. PJ Haggerty led Kansas State with 23 points and five rebounds, while Nate Johnson added 12 points and 10 rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Kansas State lost to Cincinnati by a score of 91-62 and TCU by a score of 84-82. The Wildcats have scored 80.2 points per game with 34.8 rebounds and 17.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 80.7 points against per game this season. PJ Haggerty is averaging 23.3 points and 5.1 rebounds per game, while David Castillo is averaging 11.4 points and 2.3 rebounds per game for the Wildcats. Kansas State is shooting 45.7% from the field, 70.9% on free throws, and 36.4% on three pointers this year. 

Baylor Bears Betting Preview

The Baylor Bears are 13-12 (3-9) this season after they lost to Louisville by a score of 82-71 in their last game. Baylor was tied at 34 at halftime, but they were outscored 48-37 in the second half in the loss. The Bears shot 37% from the field, 9% on three pointers, and 83% on free throws in the game. Isaac Williams IV led Baylor with 20 points and three assists, while Tounde Yessoufou added 16 points and four rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Baylor lost to BYU by a score of 99-94 and Iowa State by a score of 72-69. The Bears have scored 83.4 points per game with 37.8 rebounds and 15.8 assists per game, while they have allowed 76.1 points against per game this season. Cameron Carr is averaging 19.2 points and 5.8 rebounds per game, while Tounde Yessoufou is averaging 18.4 points and 5.7 rebounds per game for the Bears. Baylor is shooting 47.9% from the field, 73.0% on free throws, and 35.4% on three pointers this season. 

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

  • Kansas State has won 25 of its last 30 night games at Fred Bramlage Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Baylor has lost four of its last five night games.
  • Baylor has lost the first half in three of its last four road games.

Why the Baylor Bears will win

  • Kansas State has lost 12 of its last 13 games against Conference opponents.
  • Baylor has won 11 of its last 13 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Kansas State has lost the first half in seven of its last eight night games against Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas State’s last 17 games against Conference opponents at Fred Bramlage Coliseum have produced a total of 159 or fewer points.
  • Each of Baylor’s last four road games have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Kansas State ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for field goal attempts per game this season (64.0).
  • Kansas State ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for pace this season (72.3).
  • Baylor ranks T36th among Division 1 teams for field goals made per game this season (29.2).
  • Baylor ranks T37th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (4.6).

Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction 

Kansas State comes into this matchup on a lengthy losing streak and they just fired their head coach, so it will be interesting to see how they come out and start this one. The Wildcats are shooting 46% from the field and they have allowed at least 78 points in four straight games. Baylor has dropped three in a row and they are just 3-9 in Big 12 play. The Bears are shooting 48% from the field and they have allowed at least 82 points in back to back games. I am not impressed with Baylor this season and I think this is a chance for Kansas State to show some pride during a difficult week. Take the points with the Wildcats here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Kansas State +4.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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