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Mississippi State vs Kansas State 11/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Mississippi State (2-1) vs. Kansas State (4-0)
November 20, 2025 9:30 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas State +2.5; Over/Under: 161.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Mississippi State vs Kansas State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, November 20th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Kansas State Wildcats Preview

Kansas State has a 4-0 record this season and are tied for 7th place in the Big 12 conference. They are 1-3 ATS, 4-0 in Over/Under and have a 4-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. Kansas State is coming off a 84-83 home win against Tulsa and will face Indiana, Bowling Green and Seton Hall next.

Offensively, Kansas State averages 93.5 points per game, which ranks 31st in the nation, while defensively, they allow 78.5 points per game (265th). The Wildcats shoot with 54.7% from the field (7th), and with 45.7% from beyond the arc (7th). They shoot with 72.9% from the free throw line (134th), and grab 35.8 rebounds per game (281st), while dishing out 21.3 assists per game (10th) and committing 15.3 turnovers per game (313th).

PJ Haggerty leads Kansas State in scoring, with an average of 26 points and 9 rebounds and 5 assists. Nate Johnson follows with 14 points and 7 rebounds and 4 assists per game, while David Castillo adds 13.5 points per game.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview

Mississippi State has a 2-1 record this season and are tied for 13th place in the SEC conference. They are 0-3 ATS, 1-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 0-0 away record. Mississippi State is coming off a 75-68 home win against Southeastern Louisiana and will face New Orleans, Southern Methodist and Georgia Tech next.

Offensively, Mississippi State averages 80.3 points per game, which ranks 169th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 75.3 points per game (223rd). The Bulldogs shoot with 46.2% from the field (164th), and with 35.9% from beyond the arc (113th). They shoot with 70.5% from the free throw line (188th), and grab 44.3 rebounds per game (64th), while dishing out 15.7 assists per game (156th) and committing 16.3 turnovers per game (346th).

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring, with an average of 22.3 points and 6 rebounds and 5 assists. Shawn Jones Jr. follows with 11.7 points and 7 rebounds per game, while Ja’Borri McGhee adds 9.3 points and 3 rebounds per game.

Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Kansas State Wildcats Betting Trends: November 20, 2025

 

Why the Kansas State Wildcats will win

  • Kansas State has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last five night games against the Big 12 Conference.
  • Mississippi State has lost the first half in each of its last five night games against the Big 12 Conference.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • Mississippi State has won eight of its last nine games when playing with a rest advantage.
  • Kansas State has lost three of its last four games at T-Mobile Center.
  • Mississippi State has won the first half in six of its last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas State’s last 29 games at T-Mobile Center have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
  • Each of Mississippi State’s last 16 Thursday games against non-Conference opponents have produced a total of 161 or fewer points.

Mississippi State vs Kansas State Prediction

In this Mississippi State vs Kansas State Prediction, Mississippi State is coming as -2.5 road favorites. Kansas State has been excellent this season, as they are undefeated in their four games played and are now playing their fourth consecutive game at home. On the flip side, Mississippi State is playing its first road game and have failed to cover the spread in all of their games this season. Kansas State has the 31st-best offense in the country, scoring 13.2 points per game more than their opponents and I expect them to win this one. Take Kansas State and the +2.5 points at home.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Kansas State +2.5

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