Kansas vs Arizona Prediction 2/28/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Kansas (21-7) vs. Arizona (26-2)
February 28, 2026 4:00 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona -9.5; Over/Under: 149.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Kansas vs Arizona Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, February 28th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.
Arizona Wildcats Preview
The Arizona Wildcats have a 26-2 overall record and a 13-2 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off an 87-80 road win against Baylor and their previous three games were a 73-66 road win against Houston, a 75-68 home win against BYU and a 78-75 home loss against Texas Tech.
Offensively, Arizona averages 87.2 points per game, while allowing 68.9 points per game defensively. The Wildcats shoot with 50% from the field and grab 43.2 rebounds per game, while dishing out 17.4 assists per game. They average 4.3 blocks per game and 8.1 steals per game defensively.
Brayden Burries leads Arizona in scoring, with an average of 15.5 points per game, while shooting with 49.2% from the field and 76.1% from the free throw line. Tobe Awaka is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.6 per game. Jaden Bradley leads the team in assists with 4.7 per game.
Kansas Jayhawks Preview
The Kansas Jayhawks have a 21-7 overall record and an 11-4 record in the Big 12 conference. They are coming off a 69-56 home win against Houston and their previous three games were an 84-68 home loss against Cincinnati, an 81-69 road win against Oklahoma State and a 74-56 road loss against Iowa State.
Offensively, Kansas averages 76.6 points per game, while allowing 68.2 points per game defensively. The Jayhawks shoot with 47% from the field and grab 38.5 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.6 assists per game. They average 6 blocks per game and 5.3 steals per game defensively.
Flory Bidunga leads Kansas in scoring, with an average of 14.3 points per game, while shooting with 65.6% from the field and 67.8% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 9.2 rebounds. Melvin Council Jr. leads the team in assists with 5.1 per game.
Kansas Jayhawks @ Arizona Wildcats Betting Trends: February 28, 2026
Why the Arizona Wildcats will win
- Arizona has won 22 of its last 23 games at McKale Memorial Center when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Kansas has lost each of its last five road day games against Conference opponents.
- Kansas has lost the first half in each of its last nine Saturday day road games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win
- Kansas has won 10 of its last 11 February games as an AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Arizona has lost four of its last five day games as a top-5 AP-ranked team against a top-15 AP-ranked team.
- Kansas has won the first half in five of its last six road games.
Total Points Facts
- Eleven of Kansas’ last 12 games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
- Four of Arizona’s last five home games have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Arizona ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (43.2).
- Arizona ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (57.8%).
- Kansas ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for opponent free throw percentage this season (66.0%).
- Kansas ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.0).
Kansas vs Arizona Prediction
In this Kansas vs Arizona Prediction, Arizona is coming as -9.5 home favorites. Arizona has been the better team this season but Kansas has been better against the spread. Both teams are coming red-hot into this game with an 8-2 record in their last 10 games each, so I cannot pick a side. They have both been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as they are 14-6 to the under in their last 20 games combined, as both rank on the top-50 of the entire nation in points allowed. Take the under 149.5 points in this one.