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Kansas vs Arkansas Prediction 3/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Arkansas (20-13) vs. Kansas (21-12)
March 20, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas -5.5; Over/Under: 145.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Kansas vs Arkansas prediction for this College Basketball game on Thursday, March 20 at the Amica Mutual Pavilion in Providence, RI. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet St. John’s or Omaha in the 2nd Round.

Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks (20-13, 14-17-2 ATS) had some problems in the second half of the season but managed to conclude the regular part with four wins in five games. Arkansas defeated Missouri, Texas, Vanderbilt, and Mississippi State, while the lone loss came to South Carolina. The Razorbacks came into the SEC tournament as the No. 9 seed and got revenge for that loss against South Carolina but couldn’t move past the second round as Ole Miss edged them in an 83-80 win.

Arkansas averages 76.6 PPG (109th) and allows 71.2 PPG (157th). The Razorbacks are 204th in rebounds (35.3) and 136th in assists (14.5). Adou Thiero leads the team with 15.6 PPG, a team-high 6.0 RPG, 2.0 APG, and a team-high 1.7 SPG. Boogie Fland follows him with 15.1 PPG, 3.4 RPG, a team-high 5.7 APG, and 1.5 SPG, while Johnell Davis chips in 11.2 PPG, 3.3 RPG, and 1.5 SPG.

Kansas Jayhawks Betting Preview

The Kansas Jayhawks (21-12, 15-18 ATS) have been in a hot and cold form late in the regular season as they finished with seven losses and six wins in the final 13 games. After losing to Texas Tech and Houston, Kansas avoided the third straight defeat with a win over Arizona and entered the Big 12 tournament as the No. 6 seed. The Jayhawks edged UCF in overtime in the second round but were eliminated by Arizona in the quarterfinals.

Kansas is averaging 76.2 PPG (117h) and is allowing 69.3 PPG (95th). The Jayhawks are getting 38.5 RPG (43rd) and dish out 17.7 APG (10th). Hunter Dickinson is the team’s top performer with 17.6 PPG, a team-high 10.0 RPG, 2.0 APG, 1.0 SPG, and 1.3 BPG. Zeke Mayo has 14.5 PPG, 4.8 RPG, and 3.0 APG, while KJ Adams Jr. contributes 9.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, and 2.5 APG.

Why Kansas will beat Arkansas

  • Kansas has won 18 of its last 19 Thursday games.
  • Arkansas has lost three of its last four games against the Big 12 Conference.
  • Arkansas has lost the first half in four of its last five games against the Big 12 Conference at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

  • Seven of Kansas’ last eight games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146+ points.
  • Six of Arkansas’ last seven night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Kansas ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for opponent three-point percentage this season (30.1%).
  • Kansas ranks 23rd among Division 1 teams for assist-to-turnover ratio this season (1.53).

Kansas vs Arkansas Prediction

These teams have met once before, and it was in 2023 when Arkansas secured a narrow 72-71 win at Kansas. Arkansas is playing without its top scorer Thiero, while the second-best scorer Fland returns to the floor from an injury. Both teams have similar offenses when it comes to the points per game, but I am giving a slight advantage to Hunter Dickinson and the Jayhawks, who also have a bit stronger defense. It wouldn’t be shocking if the Razorbacks make a little upset here and advance to the second round, but I believe Kansas can beat them by at least five points. I am going with the Jayhawks.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Kansas -4.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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