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Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Texas Tech (21-7) vs. Kansas (19-9)
March 1, 2025 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas -4.5; Over/Under: 144.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Kansas Jayhawks meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Allen Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction.

Matchup History

These two teams have not met this season, but last time they did, on February 12th, 2024, it was Texas Tech emerging with a 79-50 win over the Jayhawks in Lubbock to snap a four-game head-to-head win streak in this matchup for Kansas.


Texas Tech Recap

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this game looking to bounce back from a 69-61 loss at the hands of Houston last time out to sit at 21-7 on the year. After this game, Texas Tech will head home for a matchup with Colorado.

Red Raiders Looking To Find Consistency After Alternating W’s & L’s In 4 Straight

JT Toppin leads the Red Raiders in scoring and rebounding with 17.2 PPG and 9.2 RPG while Darrion Williams has 14.9 PPG with 5.2 RPG and 4 APG up to this point in the year. Chance McMillian has 15.1 PPG with 4.3 RPG and Christian Anderson has 10 PPG and 3 RPG to cap off the scoring in double figures for Texas Tech so far this season. Kevin Overton has 8.1 PPG with 3.7 RPG while Elijah Hawkins also has a team-high 6.5 APG and 1.7 SPG as well so far this season. As a team, Texas Tech is averaging 80.7 PPG on 47.5% shooting from the field, 37.6% from three and 76.8% from the foul line this season.

Why the Texas Tech Red Raiders will win

  • Texas Tech has won 11 of its last 12 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Kansas has lost each of its last three day games against AP-ranked opponents.

Kansas Recap

The Kansas Jayhawks come into this game looking to bounce back from a 71-64 win over Colorado in their last game to sit at 19-9 on the year. After this game, Kansas will head on the road for a game against the Houston Cougars.

Jayhawks Win Back-To-Back Games

Hunter Dickinson leads the Jayhawks in scoring and rebounding with 16.8 PPG and 9.8 RPG along with 2 APG while Zeke Mayo has 14.3 PPG with 4.8 RPG and 3 APG as the only other double-digit scorer for Kansas so far this season. Dajuan Harris Jr. has 9.4 PPG with 2.9 RPG and a team-high 5.7 APG to lead Kansas in assists so far this season. KJ Adams Jr. also has 8.3 PPG with 4.4 RPG and 2.3 APG as well for Kansas this season. As a team, Kansas is averaging 75.9 PPG on 47.3% shooting from the field, 34.4% from three and 70.5% from the foul line this season.

Why the Kansas Jayhawks will win

  • Kansas has won each of its last 13 Saturday day games at Allen Fieldhouse.
  • Texas Tech has lost each of its last five games at Allen Fieldhouse.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kansas’ last six day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
  • Seven of Texas Tech’s last eight road day games against the Big 12 Conference have produced a total of 148+ points.

Kansas vs Texas Tech Prediction

I’m on Texas Tech and the points in this game. I get Kansas being favored and Allen Fieldhouse is still a tough place to go on the road and compete let alone win as a road team. However, Texas Tech is still loaded and I still have my concerns with this Kansas team as I don’t feel like this is the same imposing Kansas Jayhawks team of years past. This Jayhawks team doesn’t have that aura of striking fear in their opposition. I think that Kansas could still win, but I think at worst, Texas Tech covers. Give me the points with the Red Raiders here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Texas Tech +4.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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