College Basketball Picks

Kentucky vs Florida Prediction 1-4-25 College Basketball Picks

Florida (13-0) vs. Kentucky (11-2)
January 4, 2025 11:00 am EDT
The Line: Kentucky -3; Over/Under: +167
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Kentucky vs Florida Prediction for this college basketball game on Saturday, January 4th, at the Rupp Arena. Let’s take a look at a Kentucky Wildcats vs Florida Gators Pick. 

The visiting team has won each of the last three games played between the two teams. Last January it took overtime, but Florida was able to secure the 84-81 victory. 


Perfect Start for Florida

It has been a perfect start for Florida and even though they haven’t lost a game and are ranked sixth in the country, they still aren’t getting talked about a whole lot. Florida in the last game faced off against Stetson, and they scored 85 points and the defense gave up only 45 points on the way to the victory. Alijah Martin had a huge game, putting up 18 points, three rebounds, and two assists. There were three different players that put up at least 12 points. Florida shot 50.7 percent from the field and 36 percent from behind the three-point line. They only had nine free throw attempts and getting to the line more is going to be a key. Two games ago against North Florida, it was much of the same, and the offense scored 99 points while the defense gave up only 45 points. 

Florida is averaging 87.4 points while their defense is giving up 63.5 points per game. The offense is ranked 9th in the league while the defense is ranked 24th. They are shooting 47.3 percent from the field which is 87th best in the league. As a team, they are averaging 16 assists per game which is 82nd in the league. Florida is fully healthy heading into this game. Walter Clayton Jr is averaging 17.2 points while shooting 46.7 percent from the field and 37 percent from behind the three-point line. Florida will meet Tennessee after this game.

Why Florida Will Beat Kentucky

  • Florida has won 16 of its last 18 games.

Big Test For Kentucky

It’s another big test for Kentucky and a win here would make another big statement. In the last game, Kentucky faced off against Brown, and they scored 88 points while the defense gave up only 54 points and that was enough for the 34-point victory. Kentucky shot 50 percent from the field and 35.7 percent from behind the three-point line. Kentucky used a balanced attack and they had four different players that were put at least 13 points. Even though they looked good in the last game, Kentucky didn’t look good two games ago against Ohio State. Kentucky scored 65 points, while the defense gave up 85 points and that led to the defeat. 

Kentucky on the season is averaging 89 points while their defense is giving up 71.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league while the defense is ranked 186th. Otega Oweh is averaging 15.9 points while shooting 50.7 percent from the field and 36.1 percent from behind the three-point line. Kerr Kriisa is dealing with a foot injury, and he’s out indefinitely. Otega Oweh has been the top player overall this year, averaging 15.9 points while shooting 50.7 percent from the field. Kentucky will face Georgia following this one.

Kentucky vs Florida Prediction

Give me Florida here. Two games ago, Kentucky looked awful against Ohio State, and the biggest reason was the defense giving up 85 points. This Gators offense is averaging 87.4 points per game and they are going to have no issue running up the score here. Now they might not go over their season average but they are going to have no issue running up the score, and that is going to be the difference here as Florida is going to get the job done. Back Florida against the spread here. 

Shane Mickle's Free Pick: Florida +3

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Shane Mickle

Sports is about all Shane knows in this life! He has a passion for sports and writing, which makes working for Sportschatplace a perfect job for him! If you find him cheering for a team it's usually a Minnesota team, or the Kansas Jayhawks!

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