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Kentucky vs Gonzaga Prediction 12/5/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Gonzaga (7-1) vs. Kentucky (5-3)
December 5, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kentucky +5.5; Over/Under: 159.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Kentucky vs Gonzaga prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, December 5th at Rupp Arena in Lexington, Kentucky. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview

The Kentucky Wildcats are 5-3 this season after they lost to North Carolina by a score of 67-64 in their last game. Kentucky was tied at 31 at halftime and battled in the second half, but allowed a bucket with 16 seconds left for the loss. The Wildcats shot 43% from the field, 8% on three pointers, and 77% on free throws in the game. Otega Oweh led Kentucky with 16 points and four rebounds, while Collin Chandler added 12 points and two rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Kentucky defeated Tennessee Tech by a score of 104-54 and Loyola (MD) by a score of 88-46. The Wildcats have scored 86.6 points per game with 44.3 rebounds and 19.0 assists per game, while they have allowed 63.6 points against per game this season. Denzel Aberdeen is averaging 13.5 points and 4.3 rebounds per game, while Otega Oweh is averaging 13.4 points and 3.8 rebounds per game for the Wildcats. Kentucky is shooting 49.8% from the field, 74.7% on free throws, and 33.6% on three pointers this season. 

Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Gonzaga Bulldogs are 7-1 this year after they lost to Michigan by a score of 101-61 in their last game. Gonzaga trailed 53-29 at halftime and was outscored 48-32 in the second half in the blowout loss. The Bulldogs shot 34% from the field, 14% on three pointers, and 53% on free throws in the game. Tyon Grant-Foster led Gonzaga with 14 points and eight rebounds, while Braden Huff added 14 points and six rebounds in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Gonzaga defeated Maryland by a score of 100-61 and Alabama by a score of 95-85. The Bulldogs have scored 90.8 points per game with 44.6 rebounds and 19.3 assists per game, while they have allowed 67.0 points against per game this season. Braden Huff is averaging 15.8 points and 5.3 rebounds per game, while Graham Ike is averaging 15.0 points and 7.9 rebounds per game for the Bulldogs. Gonzaga is shooting 50.5% from the field, 71.2% on free throws, and 32.2% on three pointers this year. 

Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win

  • Kentucky has won each of its last 37 Friday games against non-Conference opponents.
  • Kentucky has won the first half in each of its last 24 Friday games against non-Conference opponents.

Why the Gonzaga Bulldogs will win

  • Gonzaga has won 15 of its last 17 night games.
  • Kentucky has lost seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Gonzaga has won the first half in each of its last seven games against the Southeastern Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Kentucky’s last five games have produced a total of 158 or fewer points.
  • Each of Gonzaga’s last four games have produced a total of 161+ points.

Kentucky vs Gonzaga Prediction 

Kentucky comes into this matchup after losing to UNC at home last time out and they are just 5-3 on the season. The Wildcats are shooting 50% from the field, but they have scored just 64 and 66 points against their last two good opponents. Gonzaga is coming off of a blowout loss against Michigan that was very ugly, but they do have wins over Creighton and Alabama. The Bulldogs are shooting 50% from the field and they have scored at least 95 points in three of their last four. I think we are going to see a very high scoring game here, so I like the over in this one. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 159.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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