Kentucky vs Michigan State Prediction 11/18/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Michigan State (3-0) vs. Kentucky (3-1)
November 18, 2025 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: Kentucky -4.5; Over/Under: 153.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Michigan State Spartans and Kentucky Wildcats meet Tuesday in the college basketball action at Madison Square Garden. Here’s a Kentucky vs Michigan State Prediction. This article will include a Kentucky vs Michigan State Pick.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans beat Arkansas and San Jose State, and they play Detroit next. Michigan State has won 11 of its last 12 regular season games.
The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 76 points on 43.6 percent shooting and allowing 65 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Jaxon Kohler is averaging 14.3 points and 2 assists, while Carson Cooper is averaging 12 points and 5 rebounds. Coen Carr is the third double-digit scorer and Jeremy Fears Jr. is grabbing 4.3 rebounds. The Michigan State Spartans are shooting 21.7 percent from beyond the arc and 67 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan State Spartans are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42.3 rebounds per game.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats lost to Louisville, beat Eastern Illinois, and they play Loyola MD next. Kentucky has won 6 of its last 8 regular season games.
The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 92.8 points on 52.3 percent shooting and allowing 64.8 points on 34.4 percent shooting. Denzel Aberdeen is averaging 15.3 points and 4.8 rebounds, while Otega Oweh is averaging 13 points and 3.8 rebounds. Mouhamed Dioubate is the third double-digit scorer and Collin Chandler is dishing 3.5 assists. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 34.2 percent from beyond the arc and 72.5 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 26.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 43 rebounds per game.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Michigan State has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents at Madison Square Garden.
- Kentucky has won six of its last seven games against non-Conference opponents.
- Michigan State has lost the first half in 12 of its last 13 night games against AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Michigan State has won each of its last six games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Kentucky has lost five of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Kentucky has lost the first half in each of its last four games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Michigan State’s last 10 games have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
- Eight of Kentucky’s last nine night games against the Big Ten Conference have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Kentucky ranks 9th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (61.3%).
- Kentucky ranks T10th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (48.0).
- Michigan State ranks 362nd among Division 1 teams for three-point percentage this season (21.7%).
- Michigan State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (62.0%).
Kentucky vs Michigan State Prediction
Kentucky is the more talented team and could win this game of athleticism and shot making. However, that Kentucky – Louisville game still concerns me, as Kentucky struggled against the physicality of the Cardinals and couldn’t defend the outside. Michigan State can do similar things in terms of making things ugly, playing bully ball, and dominating the glass, another area Kentucky struggled with against the Cards. Michigan State is a well coached, experienced team and has outright won 5 of its last 7 games as an underdog. Give me Sparty on Tuesday night.
