Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction 2/28/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Vanderbilt (22-6) vs. Kentucky (18-10)
February 28, 2026 2:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kentucky -1.5; Over/Under: 155.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Vanderbilt Commodores and Kentucky Wildcats meet Saturday in college basketball action at Rupp Arena. Here’s a Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt prediction. This article will include a Kentucky vs. Vanderbilt pick.
Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview
The Vanderbilt Commodores beat Georgia and lost to Tennessee, and they play Ole Miss next. Vanderbilt has won 6 of its last 9 games.
The Vanderbilt Commodores are averaging 87.3 points on 48 percent shooting and allowing 74 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Tyler Tanner is averaging 18.5 points and 5.2 assists, while Duke Miles is averaging 16.3 points and 3.1 rebounds. Tyler Nickel is the third double-digit scorer and Devin McGlockton is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Vanderbilt Commodores are shooting 35.9 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Vanderbilt Commodores are allowing 30.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33 rebounds per game.
Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
The Kentucky Wildcats lost to Auburn and beat South Carolina, and they play Texas A&M next. Kentucky has lost 3 of its last 4 games.
The Kentucky Wildcats are averaging 80.9 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 72.5 points on 41.6 percent shooting. Otega Oweh is averaging 17.5 points and 4.5 rebounds, while Denzel Aberdeen is averaging 12.9 points and 2.4 rebounds. Collin Chandler is the third double-digit scorer and Malachi Moreno is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Kentucky Wildcats are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 72.3 percent from the free throw line. The Kentucky Wildcats are allowing 31.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Kentucky Wildcats will win
- Kentucky has won 34 of its last 37 day games against conference opponents at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center.
- Vanderbilt has lost three of its last four games following a home win.
- The home team has won the first half in each of Vanderbilt’s last four games.
Why the Vanderbilt Commodores will win
- Vanderbilt has won 13 of its last 15 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- Kentucky has lost each of its last three games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Vanderbilt has won the first half in 15 of its last 16 day games as an AP-ranked team.
Total Points: Facts
- Each of the last six day games between Vanderbilt and Kentucky has produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
- Six of Vanderbilt’s last seven games at Rupp Arena at Central Bank Center have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
Kentucky vs Vanderbilt Prediction
Kentucky has had issues stepping up in competition all season and had that ugly loss last week to Georgia. I don’t trust this Kentucky team against quality opponents. However, Vanderbilt has taken a step back over the last couple of weeks as well. This is a revenge spot for Kentucky after scoring just 55 points against Vanderbilt last month. Also, we’re getting a soft line with Kentucky at Rupp, which is still one of the tougher venues in the sport. Near the pick ’em spot, I have to side with Kentucky at home.