Louisville vs NC State Prediction 2/9/26 College Basketball Picks Today
NC State (18-6) vs. Louisville (17-6)
February 9, 2026 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisville -6.5; Over/Under: 162.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The NC State Wolfpack and Louisville Cardinals meet Monday in college basketball action at the KFC Yum! Center. Here’s a Louisville vs NC State Prediction. This article will include a Louisville vs NC State Pick.
NC State Wolfpack Betting Preview
The NC State Wolfpack beat Virginia Tech and SMU, and they play Miami next. NC State has won 6 straight games.
The NC State Wolfpack is averaging 85.7 points on 48.1 percent shooting and allowing 72.5 points on 42.9 percent shooting. Darrion Williams is averaging 14.7 points and 5.3 rebounds, while Paul McNeil Jr. is averaging 14.1 points and 3.7 rebounds. Quadir Copeland is the third double-digit scorer, and Ven-Allen Lubin is grabbing 7 rebounds. The NC State Wolfpack are shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc and 75.6 percent from the free throw line. The NC State Wolfpack are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.6 rebounds per game.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals beat Notre Dame and Wake Forest, and they play Baylor next. Louisville has won 5 of its last 6 games.
The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 85.7 points on 46.4 percent shooting and allowing 70.3 points on 40.4 percent shooting. Ryan Conwell is averaging 18.4 points and 4.9 rebounds, while Mikel Brown Jr. is averaging 15.4 points and 2.9 rebounds. Isaac McKneely is the third double-digit scorer, and Sananda Fru is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Louisville Cardinals are shooting 34.5 percent from beyond the arc and 76.4 percent from the free throw line. The Louisville Cardinals are allowing 33.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Louisville has won each of its last 34 games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team at KFC Yum! Center.
- NC State has lost seven of its last eight games against AP-ranked opponents.
- Louisville has won the first half in each of its last 10 night games at KFC Yum! Center against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Why the NC State Wolfpack will win
- NC State has won each of its last six games.
- Louisville has lost each of its last six Monday night games against Conference opponents.
- NC State has won the first half in eight of its last nine games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of NC State’s last 20 night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
- Each of Louisville’s last 16 night games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 160 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Louisville ranks 3rd among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (33.4).
- Louisville ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.5).
- NC State ranks 11th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.0).
- NC State ranks 17th among Division 1 teams for assist to turnover ratio this season (1.74).
Louisville vs NC State Prediction
Louisville is getting the benefit of the donut because it’s at home, and this is a solid team on both sides of the ball. I get it. However, NC State is a tournament team that you’re not going to get in the underdog role often. NC State is an above-average defensive side and one of the best offensive teams in the country. NC State is good and has 6 road wins. It wouldn’t be shocking to see NC State win this game outright. Again, this team is good. I’ll gladly grab the points.