Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction 1-1-25 College Basketball Picks
North Carolina (8-5) vs. Louisville (8-5)
January 1, 2025 6:00 pm EDT
The Line: Louisville -1.5; Over/Under: +165
(Get latest betting odds)
The North Carolina Tar Heels and Louisville Cardinals meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the KFC Yum! Center. Here’s a Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction. This article will include a Louisville vs North Carolina Pick.
North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Preview
The North Carolina Tar Heels beat UCLA and Campbell, and they play Notre Dame, SMU, and NC State next. The North Carolina Tar Heels are averaging 86.6 points on 47.6 percent shooting and allowing 79.5 points on 42.9 percent shooting. RJ Davis is averaging 18.8 points and 4.3 rebounds, while Seth Trimble is averaging 14.8 points and 4.8 rebounds. Ian Jackson is the third double-digit scorer and Elliot Cadeau is grabbing 3.3 rebounds. The North Carolina Tar Heels are shooting 32 percent from beyond the arc and 74.3 percent from the free throw line. The North Carolina Tar Heels are allowing 35.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.5 rebounds per game.
Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview
The Louisville Cardinals beat Florida State and Eastern Kentucky, and they play Virginia, Clemson, and Pitt next. The Louisville Cardinals are averaging 78 points on 42.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.7 points on 45.1 percent shooting. Chucky Hepburn is averaging 15.2 points and 3.5 rebounds, while Terrence Edwards Jr. is averaging 14.7 points and 3.5 rebounds. Reyne Smith is the third double-digit scorer and Kasean Pryor is grabbing 6.1 rebounds. The Louisville Cardinals are shooting 29.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.4 percent from the free throw line. The Louisville Cardinals are allowing 36.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.
Louisville vs North Carolina Injury Report
Louisville will continue to be without Kasean Pryor, Aboubacar Traore, and Koren Johnson. Seth Trimble is questionable for North Carolina with an upper-body injury. Trimble is the second-leading scorer for the Tar Heels and their leading rebounder. Obviously, the status of Trimble should be monitored before locking in a bet.
Why the Louisville Cardinals will win
- Louisville has won seven of its last eight games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- North Carolina has lost three of its last four night games.
- Louisville has won the first half in four of its last five home games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of North Carolina’s last nine games against Conference opponents has produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
- Fifty-four of Louisville’s last 57 games against Conference opponents at KFC Yum! Center have produced a total of 163 or fewer points.
Louisville vs North Carolina Prediction
As I mentioned before, the status of Trimble goes a long way to capping this game. Check his status before betting. At the time of this writing, I have to lean toward Louisville at home and the small chalk. North Carolina hasn’t been great this season and could be down one of its top players. The Louisville Cardinals have issues of their own, but they can push the pace offensively, and they’ve seen 5 of their 8 wins come at home. This feels like a rare spot for Louisville to beat North Carolina. The Tar Heels have won 8 of the last 10 games against the Cardinals. If not this year, when? Give me Louisville and the small number, especially if Trimble can’t play.