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Marquette vs New Mexico Prediction 3/21/25 College Basketball Picks Today

New Mexico (26-7) vs. Marquette (23-10)
March 21, 2025 7:25 pm EDT
The Line: Marquette -3.5; Over/Under: 152.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Marquette vs New Mexico prediction for this College Basketball game on Friday, March 21 at the Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this game in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. The winner of this game will meet Michigan State or Bryant in the 2nd Round.

New Mexico Lobos Betting Preview

The New Mexico Lobos (26-7, 15-17 ATS) responded to a pair of losses against Boise State and San Diego State with three straight wins to conclude the regular season and earn the No. 1 seed for the Mountain West tournament. New Mexico beat San Jose State in the quarterfinals but fell short of Boise State in the semifinals.

New Mexico averages 81.2 PPG (27th) and allows 70.8 PPG (114th). The Lobos are 26th in rebounds (39.3) and 89th in assists (15.2). Donovan Dent leads the team with 20.6 PPG, 2.3 RPG, a team-high 6.5 APG, and 1.5 SPG. Nelly Junior Joseph follows him with 14.0 PPG, a team-high 11.2 RPG, 1.3 SPG, and a team-high 1.5 BPG, while Mustapha Amzil chips in 11.3 PPG and 5.4 RPG.

Marquette Golden Eagles Betting Preview

The Marquette Golden Eagles (23-10, 14-19 ATS) didn’t play their best basketball late in the season as they lost six of ten games, including the final couple against UConn and St. John’s. Marquette entered the Big East tournament as the No. 5 seed and came from behind to beat Xavier in the quarterfinals, however, the Golden Eagles were stopped in the semis by St. John’s, who later won the tourney.

Marquette is averaging 76.9 PPG (102nd) and is allowing 68.5 PPG (70th). The Golden Eagles are getting 34.2 RPG (276th) and dish out 13.8 APG (190th). Kam Jones is the team’s top performer with 19.3 PPG, 4.5 RPG, a team-high 5.9 APG, and 1.4 SPG. David Joplin has 13.8 PPG, a team-high 5.5 RPG, and 1.1 SPG, while Stevie Mitchell contributes 10.9 PPG, 4.1 RPG, and a team-high 2.3 SPG.

Why New Mexico will beat Marquette

  • New Mexico has won 31 of its last 37 games against non-conference opponents.
  • Marquette has lost three of its last four games.
  • Marquette has lost the first half in eight of its last 10 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

Why Marquette will beat New Mexico

  • Marquette has won 37 of its last 43 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • New Mexico has lost the first half in each of its last three games against the Big East Conference.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Marquette’s last 10 night games has produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
  • Ten of New Mexico’s last 11 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 152 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Marquette ranks 19th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goal attempts per game this season (28.8).
  • Marquette ranks 20th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (9.1).
  • New Mexico ranks 15th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (15.4).
  • New Mexico ranks 16th among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (5.2).

Marquette vs New Mexico Prediction

These teams have met once before and it was back in 2013 when New Mexico secured a win at Marquette. I am not sure who will come away with a victory this time around as I haven’t been impressed with the way both New Mexico and Marquette played recently. Although I am leaning toward the Lobos to cover, I will opt for the points and a low-scoring affair instead. Six of New Mexico’s last ten games went Under, which was also the case in Marquette’s previous ten games. Marquette has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of its last 36 games, while New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 19 of its previous 33 games. Back Under.

Oliver Zivic's Free Pick: Under 152.5

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Oliver Zivic

Professional journalist and expert bettor with 20+ years of experience. I cover Football (soccer), NFL, NBA, NHL, MLB, CFB, and CBB.

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