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Maryland vs Illinois Prediction 3/8/26 College Basketball Picks Today

Illinois (23-7) vs. Maryland (11-19)
March 8, 2026 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Maryland +15.5; Over/Under: 146.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Illinois Fighting Illini and Maryland Terrapins meet Sunday in college basketball action at the XFINITY Center. Here’s a Maryland vs. Illinois prediction. This article will include a Maryland vs. Illinois pick.

Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview

The Illinois Fighting Illini lost to Michigan and beat Oregon. Illinois has split its last 8 games.

The Illinois Fighting Illini are averaging 84.5 points on 46.1 percent shooting and allowing 69 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Keaton Wagler is averaging 18.1 points and 5 rebounds, while Andrej Stojakovic is averaging 13.5 points and 4.6 rebounds. Kylan Boswell is the third double-digit scorer and David Mirkovic is grabbing 7.7 rebounds. The Illinois Fighting Illini are shooting 35.2 percent from beyond the arc and 79.2 percent from the free throw line. The Illinois Fighting Illini are allowing 31.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38 rebounds per game.

Maryland Terrapins Betting Preview

The Maryland Terrapins lost to Rutgers and Wisconsin. Maryland has lost 5 of its last 6 games.

The Maryland Terrapins are averaging 69.8 points on 40.4 percent shooting and allowing 77.1 points on 46.7 percent shooting. Pharrel Payne is averaging 17.5 points and 7.2 rebounds, while David Coit is averaging 13.6 points and 1.9 rebounds. Andre Mills is the third double-digit scorer, and Darius Adams is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Maryland Terrapins are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free throw line. The Maryland Terrapins are allowing 37.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.3 rebounds per game.

Why the Maryland Terrapins will win

  • The home team has won six of Maryland’s last seven games.
  • Illinois has lost five of its last six games at XFINITY Center.
  • Maryland has won the first half in five of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents at XFINITY Center.

Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win

  • Maryland has lost each of its last 10 games against AP-ranked opponents.
  • Illinois has won each of its last 10 March games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
  • Illinois has won the first half in 24 of its last 25 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of Illinois’ last six road games has produced a total of 147+ points.
  • Each of Maryland’s last four games has produced a total of 135 or fewer points.

Maryland vs Illinois Prediction

I’ve been pounding the table all season for Illinois, a team that can make noise in the tournament. However, Illinois has been shaky as of late, losing to Wisconsin and UCLA as big favorites. Maryland isn’t good but it’s at home, where 7 of its 11 wins have come. Also, it’s senior night for key guys like David Coit and Pharrel Payne. If there was a game Maryland gets up for one last time, this is probably it. I’ll take a stab with the boatload of buckets with the Terps.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Maryland +15.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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