College Basketball Picks

Memphis vs UAB Prediction 3/16/25 College Basketball Picks Today

UAB (22-11) vs. Memphis (28-5)
March 16, 2025 3:00 pm EDT
The Line: Memphis -4.5; Over/Under: 160.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Memphis Tigers and the UAB Blazers meet Sunday in college basketball action from the Dickies Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Memphis vs UAB Prediction.

Matchup History

The Memphis Tigers won both meetings in the regular season, first with a 100-77 win at home back on January 26th, 2025 before an 88-81 road win on March 2nd, 2025. The wins gave Memphis three straight head-to-head wins in the matchup and 8 wins in the last 10 all-time.



Memphis Recap

The Memphis Tigers booked their spot in the AAC title game thanks to a 78-77 win over Tulane last time out.

Tigers Looking For Second Conference Championship In Last Three Years

PJ Haggerty leads Memphis in scoring with 21.9 PPG along with 5.6 RPG and 3.8 APG while Tyrese Hunter has 13.9 PPG with 3.9 RPG and 3.5 APG of his own. Colby Rogers has 10.4 PPG and Dain Dainja has 13.8 PPG with a team-high 7 RPG to lead the Tigers in rebounding and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Memphis so far this season. As a team, Memphis is averaging 80.1 PPG on 47.7% shooting from the field, 38.4% from three-point range and 71% from the foul line this season.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

  • Memphis has won 15 of its last 16 games.
  • UAB has lost each of its last six games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.

UAB Recap

The UAB Blazers come into this one fresh off of their 66-56 semifinal win over North Texas to punch their ticket to the AAC championship.

Blazers Looking To Defend AAC Crown

Yaxel Lendeborg has a team-high 17.5 PPG and 10.8 RPG to lead the Blazers in scoring and rebounding while also adding a team-high 4.2 APG. Christian Coleman has 11.3 PPG with 7.1 RPG and Alejandro Vasquez has 11.4 PPG. Ja’Borri McGhee has 11 PPG with 2.8 APG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for UAB up to this point in the year. Efrem Johnson has 9 PPG with 2 RPG. Tony Toney has chipped in 7.9 PPG, 3.5 RPG and 2 APG and Tyren Moore has 6.6 PPG with 2.1 APG while Bradley Ezewiro has 7.5 PPG and 4.7 RPG this season. As a team, UAB is averaging 83.4 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 34.5% from three and 76.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the UAB Blazers will win

  • UAB has won each of its last six games against the American Athletic Conference at neutral venues.

Total Points Facts

  • Twenty-four of Memphis’ last 25 games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 157 or fewer points.
  • Each of UAB’s last seven games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.

Memphis vs UAB Prediction

I’m on Memphis here. I’ve said time and time again, the Tigers are a team I’ve figured out. When you expect them to deliver with expectation like laying a big number against a team they should beat, you fade them, as Memphis has a tendency to play with their food and play down to certain teams. When they’re faced with adversity, and are expected to be challenged, you back them because Memphis has a tendency to overdeliver in spots. I think that’s the case here, as Memphis has been able to score at will in this matchup. While UAB has a solid offense, I don’t know if it will be enough here, even in the conference title game. Give me Memphis.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Memphis -4.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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