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Miami vs Duke Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 3/10/23

Duke Blue Devils (24-8) vs. Miami Hurricanes (25-6)
March 10, 2023 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Hurricanes +2.5 / Duke Blue Devils -2.5; Over/Under: +145.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Duke Blue Devils and Miami Hurricanes meet Friday in the college basketball ACC Tournament Semifinal at the Greensboro Coliseum. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Duke Blue Devils are averaging 71.8 points on 44.4 percent shooting and allowing 63.8 points on 41 percent shooting. Kyle Filipowski is averaging 15 points and 9.2 rebounds, while Jeremy Roach is averaging 13.1 points and 2.4 rebounds. Mark Mitchell is dishing 1.2 assists and Tyrese Proctor is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Duke Blue Devils are shooting 32.9 percent from beyond the arc and 76.8 percent from the free throw line. The Duke Blue Devils are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.3 rebounds per game.

The Miami Hurricanes are averaging 79.6 points on 48.5 percent shooting and allowing 71.7 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Isaiah Wong is averaging 15.9 points and 4.4 rebounds, while Jordan Miller is averaging 15.1 points and 6.1 rebounds. Norchad Omier is the third double-digit scorer and Nijel Pack is grabbing 2.6 rebounds. The Miami Hurricanes are shooting 37.2 percent from beyond the arc and 78 percent from the free throw line. The Miami Hurricanes are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.1 rebounds per game.

The Blue Devils are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. The Hurricanes are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 Friday games and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following a ATS loss. The under is 5-1 in Blue Devils last 6 neutral site games. The under is 6-1 in Hurricanes last 7 neutral site games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

I can understand why Duke is favored here, as it’s playing some of its best ball right now, and it’s pretty much the home team with the venue in North Carolina. However, Miami has been comfortable in the underdog role all year. In fact, the Miami Hurricanes win as underdogs by an average of 2.7 points, and they’re 6-0 ATS when underdogs. Give me the free bucket.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Miami Hurricanes +2.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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