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Miami vs Duke Prediction 2/25/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Duke (24-3) vs. Miami (FL) (6-21)
February 25, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami (FL) +21.5; Over/Under: 151.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Duke Blue Devils and the Miami Hurricanes meet Tuesday in college basketball action from BankUnited Center. Here’s a Miami vs Duke prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Miami vs Duke pick.

Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview

The Blue Devils have had a great season so far, with only a few blemishes on the card. Duke opened on a 4-2 run with losses to Kentucky and Kansas, then hit a lengthy winning streak that stretched into this month. Those victories came versus Seattle, Auburn, Louisville, Incarnate Word, George Mason, Georgia Tech, Virginia Tech, SMU, Pitt, Notre Dame, Miami, Boston College, Wake Forest, NC State, North Carolina, and Syracuse in succession. Following a loss to Clemson on February 8, Duke bounced back with wins over Cal, Stanford, and Virginia in the next three. That would give the Devils a 23-3 overall run through 26 games.


In their Saturday matchup with Illinois, the Blue Devils were up by a substantial 54-37 margin by the break. Duke kept it up from there on a 56-30 run and took the dominant blowout road victory 110-67 in the end. The Blue Devils’ five starters each finished in double-figures, but the lead scorer was Isaiah Evans who came off the bench for 17 points, two rebounds, and two assists. Cooper Flagg added 16 points with seven rebounds and five assists, and Kon Knueppel had 15 points with four rebounds and two assists in the victory effort.

Miami Hurricanes Betting Preview

Over on the Miami side, they’ve struggled in the win column this year. The Hurricanes did start 3-0 with wins over Fairleigh Dickinson, Binghamton, and Coppin State, but would only win one game (over Presbyterian) between mid-November and February. Those losses were versus Drake, Oklahoma State, VCU, Charleston Southern, Arkansas, Clemson, Tennessee, Mount St. Mary’s, Boston College, Virginia Tech, Florida State, Wake Forest, Duke, SMU, Stanford, Cal, and Virginia. A 2-3 run came next with wins over Notre Dame and Syracuse among losses to Louisville, Pitt, and Florida State. Across their first 26 games of the year, Miami had only a 6-20 overall record amid some tough matchups on the schedule.

Matched up against Virginia Tech over the weekend, Miami held a 38-38 tie by halftime. The Hurricanes were outscored 43-30 the rest of the way however, leading to an 81-68 loss in the end. Tops in scoring for Miami was AJ Staton-McCray with 21 points, three rebounds and two steals. Lynn Kidd added 16 points with nine rebounds and three assists, while Paul Djobet had 12 bench points and four boards.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

  • The home team has won five of Miami (FL)’s last six games.

Why the Duke Blue Devils will win

  • Duke has won 22 of its last 23 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
  • Miami (FL) has lost 24 of its last 26 games against the Atlantic Coast Conference.
  • Duke has won the first half in 17 of its last 18 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.

Miami vs Duke Prediction

I’ll probably stay with Duke, but I’m also probably not touching this one since the line is going to be crazy thick pretty much everywhere. The Devils destroyed a good Illini team in their last outing, posting 55.6 percent shooting from the field, 52.2 percent from 3-point range (12-of-23), and a 44-30 rebounding edge. Duke held Illinois to just 37.7 percent shooting on the other side and had just six turnovers total. That makes four straight wins for the Blue Devils, and they’ve hit 78 or more points in all of them. Duke has gotten above 105 in two of the four victories as well.

Back on January 14 when these teams last met up, Duke rolled to an 89-54 blowout win at home. The Blue Devils were up 50-26 by the break and cruised from there on 54.8 percent shooting overall and 53.1 percent (17-of-32) from outside. Duke also notched a dominant effort on the boards with a 43-22 advantage, but they also coughed up 10 turnovers for 14 Hurricanes points. Even on the road, Duke shouldn’t have too many issues staying far in front of an inferior Miami team in the rematch.

Andrew's Free Pick: Duke Blue Devils -21.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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