Miami vs Virginia Prediction 3/13/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Miami vs Virginia Prediction for this ACC Semifinal on Friday, March 13^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Virginia Cavaliers Preview

The Virginia Cavaliers have a 28-4 overall record and a 15-3 record in the ACC conference. They are coming off an 81-74 win against NC State and their previous three games were a 76-72 win against Virginia Tech, a 75-70 win against Wake Forest and a 77-51 road loss against Duke.

Offensively, Virginia averages 80.9 points per game, while allowing 68.4 points per game defensively. The Cavaliers shoot with 46% from the field and grab 40.8 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.8 assists per game. They average 6.2 blocks per game and 6.6 steals per game defensively.

Thijs De Ridder leads Virginia in scoring, with an average of 15.8 points per game, while shooting with 51.4% from the field and 71.2% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 6.2 rebounds. Dallin Hall leads the team in assists with 4.3 per game.

Miami Hurricanes Preview

The Miami Hurricanes have a 25-7 overall record and a 13-5 record in the ACC conference. They are coming off a 78-73 win against Louisville and their previous three games were a 92-89 loss against Louisville, a 77-69 road win against SMU and a 76-54 win against Boston College.

Offensively, Miami averages 82.6 points per game, while allowing 70.8 points per game defensively. The Hurricanes shoot with 50% from the field and grab 37.7 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.4 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.9 steals per game defensively.

Malik Reneau leads Miami in scoring, with an average of 19 points per game, while shooting with 55.9% from the field and 78.1% from the free throw line. Ernest Udeh Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.4 per game. Tre Donaldson leads the team in assists with 5.9 per game.

Miami Hurricanes @ Virginia Cavaliers Betting Trends: March 13, 2026

Why the Virginia Cavaliers will win

• Virginia has won each of its last 16 games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Miami (FL) has lost each of its last nine games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
• Virginia has won the first half in each of its last 10 March games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won 12 of its last 13 night games.
• Virginia has lost four of its last five night games played at neutral venues.
• Miami (FL) has won the first half in three of its last four night games.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Virginia’s last 22 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 143 or fewer points.
• Each of Miami (FL)’s last five Conference Tournament games have produced a total of 146+ points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Virginia ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for blocks per game this season (6.2).
• Virginia ranks T11th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.8).
• Miami (FL) is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Miami (FL) ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.4).

Miami vs Virginia Prediction

In this Miami vs Virginia Prediction, Virginia is coming as -4 favorites. Virginia has a better overall record but Miami is better against the spread. Both teams have been red-hot lately, with a 9-1 and 8-2 record in their last 10 games respectively and Virginia won their regular season meeting, but Miami covered the spread. Miami has a better offense and has been playing very good basketball away from home, so I expect them to keep this one close. Take Miami and get the +4 points.