Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction 2/7/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Illinois (20-3) vs. Michigan State (19-4)
February 7, 2026 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan State -1; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
The Illinois Fighting Illini and Michigan State Spartans meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Breslin Center. Here’s a Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction. This article will include a Michigan State vs Illinois Pick.
Illinois Fighting Illini Betting Preview
The Illinois Fighting Illini beat Nebraska and Northwestern, and they play Wisconsin next. Illinois has won 12 straight games.
The Illinois Fighting Illini are averaging 84.7 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 67.2 points on 40.1 percent shooting. Keaton Wagler is averaging 17.9 points and 5 rebounds, while Kylan Boswell is averaging 14.3 points and 4.2 rebounds. Andrej Stojakovic is the third double-digit scorer and David Mirkovic is grabbing 8.2 rebounds. The Illinois Fighting Illini are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 78.9 percent from the free throw line. The Illinois Fighting Illini are allowing 31.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 38.6 rebounds per game.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans lost to Michigan and Minnesota, and they play Wisconsin next. Michigan State has won 11 of its last 14 games.
The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 82.5 points on 47.3 percent shooting and allowing 67.9 points on 39.4 percent shooting. Jeremy Fears Jr. is averaging 14.7 points and 8.9 assists, while Jaxon Kohler is averaging 12.9 points and 9.1 rebounds. Coen Carr is the third double-digit scorer and Carson Cooper is grabbing 7.2 rebounds. The Michigan State Spartans are shooting 35.1 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan State Spartans are allowing 31 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39.9 rebounds per game.
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Michigan State has won each of its last six February games as a top-15 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
- Illinois has lost six of its last seven games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center.
- Illinois has lost the first half in seven of its last eight games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
Why the Illinois Fighting Illini will win
- Illinois has won each of its last 12 games.
- Michigan State has lost each of its last 10 games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
- Illinois has won the first half in each of its last eight night games.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of Michigan State’s last 10 games against Conference opponents at Jack Breslin Student Events Center have produced a total of 142 or fewer points.
- Each of Illinois’ last four games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center have produced a total of 153+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan State ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (27.8).
- Michigan State ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for rebound percentage this season (59.6%).
- Illinois ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for steals per game this season (3.6).
- Illinois ranks 365th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (7.7).
Michigan State vs Illinois Prediction
Michigan State is a tough out at home, and it’s why Sparty is a slight favorite here. However, I’ve been pounding the table all season for Illinois, and this team continues to impress. Illinois can score the ball at an above-average clip, defends well, and has size that frustrates opponents. Illinois is also 6-0 SU on the road this season. Illinois is good and quickly emerging into a legit title contender. Do not keep sleeping on this team. I’ll gladly grab the point with Illinois.
