Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction 3/14/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Oregon Ducks and the Michigan State Spartans meet Friday in college basketball action from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction.

Matchup History

Michigan State won the lone meeting between these two teams in the regular season by a final score of 86-74 at home on February 8^th, 2025. The win made Michigan State 2-0 in the head-to-head series between these two teams.

Oregon Recap

The Oregon Ducks come into this game looking to add on to their 72-59 win over Indiana last time out to book their spot in the quarterfinals.

Ducks Looking To Spring Upset

Nate Bittle leads the Ducks in scoring and rebounding with 14.1 PPG and 7.3 RPG while Jackson Shelstad has 13.3 PPG with 3 RPG and a team-high 2.7 APG to lead the Ducks in assists. TJ Bamba has 10.2 PPG with 3.4 RPG and 2.9 APG while Keeshawn Barthelemy has 10.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG and 2.6 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Oregon up to this point in the year. Brandon Angel has 8.4 PPG with 4 RPG while Jadrian Tracey also has 7.2 PPG with 2.8 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Oregon is averaging 76.7 PPG on 45.5% shooting from the field, 34.2% from three and 76.3% from the foul line this season.

Why the Oregon Ducks will win

• Oregon has won each of its last eight games.
• Michigan State has lost four of its last five Conference Tournament day games.

Michigan State Recap

The Michigan State Spartans come into the conference tournament as the top seed, finishing the year with an overall record of 26-5 on the year including a 17-3 mark in Big Ten conference play.

Spartans Looking To Win First Big Ten Title Since 2019

Jaden Akins leads the Spartans in scoring with 12.9 PPG along with 3.7 RPG while Jase Richardson’s posted 11.6 PPG with 3.1 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Michigan State so far this year. Tre Holloman has 9.1 PPG and 3.8 APG while Frankie Fidler has 7.2 PPG and 3.5 RPG and Jaxon Kohler has 8.1 PPG with 7.8 RPG to lead the Spartans on the glass. Coen Carr has 7.7 PPG with 3.3 RPG and Jeremy Fears Jr. has 7 PPG and has dished out a team-high 5.5 APG as well on the year. As a team, Michigan State is averaging 78.4 PPG on 46.3% shooting from the field, 30.2% from three and 78.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Michigan State Spartans will win

• • Michigan State has won each of its last seven games.
  • Oregon has lost four of its last five games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of Oregon’s last nine games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 150+ points.
• Each of Michigan State’s last five games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.

Michigan State vs Oregon Prediction

I’m going to take Oregon and the points here. I just think this is going to be more of a competitive matchup than the line would suggest. I know the Spartans won the first meeting between these two teams, but I still think Oregon is a good enough team to hang around in this game and the Ducks can keep this one respectable. If you can slow down the two-point shot, you can slow down Michigan State who does not take many threes and when they do take them, they’re not making them at a high rate. I think that Oregon keeps this one close and is live for the outright upset. Give me Oregon and the points here.