Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction 2/18/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Michigan State vs Purdue prediction for this College Basketball game on Tuesday, February 18th at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview

The Michigan State Spartans are 20-5 (11-3) this year after they defeated Illinois by a score of 79-65 in their last game. Michigan State trailed 41-37 at halftime, but they held Illinois to just 24 points in the second half for the huge win. The Spartans shot 48.5% from the field, 41.7% on three-pointers, and 61.5% on free throws in the game. Jaxon Kohler led Michigan State with 23 points and 10 rebounds, while Tre Holloman added 14 points and three assists in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Spartans lost to Indiana by a score of 71-67 but did beat Oregon by a score of 86-74 before that. Michigan State has lost three of their last five games and they are currently second in the Big Ten standings with an 11-3 record. Michigan State has scored 79.3 points per game and they have allowed 67.5 points per game, while also averaging 40.5 rebounds and 17.6 assists per game this season. Jaden Akins is averaging 13.2 points, 3.6 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game, while Jase Richardson is averaging 10.3 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 1.8 assists per game this year. Michigan State is shooting 46.7% from the field, 80.6% on free throws, and 29.1% on three-pointers this season. 

Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview

The Purdue Boilermakers are 19-7 (11-4) this season after they lost to Wisconsin by a score of 94-84 in their last game. Purdue led 37-36 at halftime, but they allowed 58 points in the second half in the loss. The Boilermakers shot 51.8% from the field, 45.5% on three-pointers, and 76.2% on free throws in the game. Trey Kaufman-Renn led Purdue with 30 points and five assists, while Fletcher Loyer added 15 points and four rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Boilermakers lost to Michigan by a score of 75-73 but did beat USC by a score of 90-72 before that. Purdue has won four of their last six games and they are currently third in the Big Ten standings with an 11-4 record. Purdue has scored 78.7 points per game and they have allowed 69.8 points per game, while also averaging 33 rebounds and 16.5 assists per game this season. Trey Kaufman-Renn is averaging 19.4 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 2.5 assists per game, while Braden Smith is averaging 16.0 points, 4.7 rebounds, and 8.8 assists per game this year. Purdue is shooting 49.4% from the field, 72.6% on free throws, and 37.7% on three-pointers this season. Purdue will take on Indiana and UCLA after this game. 

Why Purdue will beat Michigan State

• Michigan State has lost each of its last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents.
• Purdue has won nine of its last 10 games against Michigan State.
• Michigan State has lost the first half in each of its last eight night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Twelve of the last 13 games between Purdue and Michigan State have produced a total of 145 or fewer points.
• Each of Purdue’s last five games at Jack Breslin Student Events Center has produced a total of 136 or fewer points.

Michigan State vs Purdue Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup just a half-game apart in the Big Ten standings, so this is a huge game for both sides. Michigan State hasn’t played their best over the last few weeks, but they were able to have a huge second half against Illinois to avoid another loss in their last game. The Spartans are shooting 46.7% from the field this year and they have scored 67 points or fewer in three of their last five games. Purdue is shooting 49.4% from the field this year, but they are trying to snap a two-game losing streak here. Both teams have had recent struggles, but Michigan State’s three-point shooting is a concern and I think Purdue has a great chance to get the win, so take the Boilermakers with the points here.