Michigan State vs Wisconsin Prediction 3/15/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Wisconsin (25-8) vs. Michigan State (27-5)
March 15, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan State -2.5; Over/Under: 144.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Michigan State Spartans and Wisconsin Badgers meet on Saturday in college basketball action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Here’s a Michigan State vs Wisconsin prediction. This article will include a Michigan State vs Wisconsin Pick.
Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview
The Wisconsin Badgers (25-8, 20-12-1 ATS) were on a five-game winning streak in February but closed the regular season with three losses in five games. The Badgers lost to Oregon, Michigan State, and Penn State, while they beat Washington and Minnesota in that span. Wisconsin entered the Big Ten tourney as the No. 5 seed.
Wisconsin is averaging 80.4 PPG (38th) and is allowing 70.7 PPG (138th). The Badgers are getting 36.2 RPG (146th) and dish out 14.6 APG (126th). John Tonje is the team’s top performer with 18.9 PPG and 5.1 RPG. John Blackwell has 15.4 PPG, 5.2 RPG, and 2.2 APG. while Nolan Winter contributes 10.0 PPG and a team-high 6.0 RPG.
Michigan State Spartans Betting Preview
The Michigan State Spartans (27-5, 22-9-1 ATS) are playing the best basketball in the Big Ten conference this season. Following a loss to Indiana on February 12, the Spartans connected seven victories to conclude the regular season. Michigan State entered the conference tourney in the quarterfinals when it defeated Oregon 74-64.
Michigan State averages 78.4 PPG (76th) and allows 67.0 PPG (46th). The Spartans are 16th in rebounds (40.0) and 19th in assists (17.1). Jaden Akins leads the team with 12.9 PPG and 3.7 RPGT. Jase Richardson follows him with 11.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, while Tre Holloman chips in 9.1 PPG and 3.8 APG.
Why the Michigan State Spartans will win
- Michigan State has won each of its last eight games against the Big Ten Conference.
- Wisconsin has lost five of its last six day games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Wisconsin has lost the first half in nine of its last 12 day games against AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of Michigan State’s last nine games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.
- Seven of Wisconsin’s last eight games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 148+ points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan State ranks 12th among Division 1 teams for rebounds per game this season (40.0).
- Michigan State ranks 14th among Division 1 teams for free throw percentage this season (78.9%).
- Wisconsin ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for offensive rating this season (118.0).
- Wisconsin ranks 21st among Division 1 teams for defensive rating this season (103.7).
Michigan State vs Wisconsin Prediction
These rivals have traded wins in the past few years as each recorded five wins in the last ten duels. Michigan State won the first meeting of the season 71-62 at home and covered the spread. This one will be tight but I am sure the Spartans will prevail, get a W, and cover. Michigan State is the best team in the conference and I am backing the Spartans to reach the finals. Back them to win and cover.
