Michigan vs San Diego State Prediction 11/24/25 College Basketball Picks Today
San Diego State (2-1) vs. Michigan (4-0)
November 24, 2025 10:30 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan -6.5; Over/Under: 147.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Michigan vs San Diego State Prediction for this College Basketball game on Monday, November 24th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.
San Diego State Aztecs Preview
San Diego State has a 2-1 record this season and are tied for 7th place in the MWC conference. They are 1-2 ATS, 1-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-1 home record and a 0-0 away record. San Diego State is coming off a 107-108 home loss against Troy and will face Oregon, Utah Valley and Lamar next.
Offensively, San Diego State averages 86 points per game, which ranks 95th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 70 points per game (126th). The Aztecs shoot with 49% from the field (70th), and with 41% from beyond the arc (18th). They shoot with 72% from the free throw line (156th), and grab 37 rebounds per game (218th), while dishing out 17 assists per game (88th) and committing 16 turnovers per game (339th).
Magoon Gwath leads San Diego State in scoring, with an average of 20 points and 7 rebounds. Reese Dixon-Waters follows with 15.5 points and 6 rebounds per game, while Miles Byrd adds 13.7 points and 4 assists per game.
Michigan Wolverines Preview
Michigan has a 4-0 record this season and are tied for 3rd place in the Big Ten conference. They are 1-3 ATS, 2-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 1-0 away record. Michigan is coming off an 86-61 home win against Middle Tennessee and will face Auburn, Rutgers and Villanova next.
Offensively, Michigan averages 90 points per game, which ranks 49th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 72 points per game (153rd). The Wolverines shoot with 50% from the field (39th), and with 33% from beyond the arc (211th). They shoot with 75% from the free throw line (84th), and grab 46 rebounds per game (17th), while dishing out 20 assists per game (22nd) and committing 15 turnovers per game (312th).
Yaxel Lendeborg leads Michigan in scoring, with an average of 15 points and 7.8 rebounds. Morez Johnson Jr. follows with 13.3 points and 7.5 rebounds per game, while Aday Mara adds 11.5 points and 10.3 rebounds per game.
San Diego State Aztecs @ Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends: November 24, 2025
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won each of its last nine night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- San Diego State has lost five of its last six games when playing with a rest advantage.
- Michigan has won the first half in seven of its last eight night games played at neutral venues.
Why the San Diego State Aztecs will win
- San Diego State has won each of its last 13 games after coming off overtime.
- San Diego State has won the first half in four of its last five games played at neutral venues after coming off overtime.
Total Points Facts
- Nine of San Diego State’s last 10 games at a neutral venue have produced a total of 146 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan is one of only two teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.
- Michigan ranks 364th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal attempts per game this season (69.8).
- San Diego State ranks 5th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (1.3).
- San Diego State ranks T19th among Division 1 teams for opponent turnovers per game this season (17.7).
Michigan vs San Diego State Prediction
In this Michigan vs San Diego State Prediction, Michigan is coming as -6.5 road favorites. Michigan has been excellent this season, as they are undefeated and have won their only road game. Both teams have been weak against the spread lately, as they each are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games, but both have been playing very good defense lately. San Diego State has held its opponents to 57 points or less in two of its last three games, while Michigan has allowed just 62 points per game in its last two, and both teams are 4-1 to the under combined. I expect a low-scoring affair, so take the under 149.5 points in this one.