Michigan vs UC San Diego Prediction 3/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today
UC San Diego (30-4) vs. Michigan (25-9)
March 20, 2025 10:00 pm EDT
The Line: Michigan -2.5; Over/Under: 142.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The UC San Diego Tritons and Michigan Wolverines meet Thursday in the college basketball First Round at the Ball Arena. Here’s a Michigan vs UC San Diego Prediction. This article will include a Michigan vs UC San Diego Pick.
UC San Diego Tritons Betting Preview
The UC San Diego Tritons recently beat Long Beach State, UC Davis, UC Santa Barbara, and UC Irvine. UC San Diego hasn’t lost a game since January 18 and has lost twice since Christmas.
The UC San Diego Tritons are averaging 79.8 points on 46.6 percent shooting and allowing 61.6 points on 39.6 percent shooting. Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones is averaging 19.5 points and 5.5 rebounds, while Tyler McGhie is averaging 16.4 points and 3.9 rebounds. Hayden Gray is the third double-digit scorer and Nordin Kapic is grabbing 5.2 rebounds. The UC San Diego Tritons are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 74.6 percent from the free throw line. The UC San Diego Tritons are allowing 32.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 30.4 rebounds per game.
Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
The Michigan Wolverines just beat Purdue, Maryland, and Wisconsin to win the Big Ten Tournament. Michigan responded from a three-game losing streak with a three-game winning streak.
The Michigan Wolverines are averaging 79.1 points on 47.8 percent shooting and allowing 71.4 points on 40.9 percent shooting. Vladislav Goldin is averaging 16.7 points and 1.1 assists, while Danny Wolf is averaging 13.1 points and 9.8 rebounds. Tre Donaldson is the third double-digit scorer and Nimari Burnett is grabbing 3.5 rebounds. The Michigan Wolverines are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 71.7 percent from the free throw line. The Michigan Wolverines are allowing 32 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Michigan Wolverines will win
- Michigan has won eight of its last nine games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Michigan has won the first half in each of its last 11 games against non-conference opponents.
Why the UC San Diego Tritons will win
- UC San Diego has won each of its last 15 games.
- Michigan has lost five of its last six games against non-AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
- Michigan has lost the first half in each of its last four NCAA Tournament games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of Michigan’s last eight NCAA Tournament night games against a lower seed have produced a total of 129 or fewer points.
- Each of UC San Diego’s last five games at a neutral venue has produced a total of 140 or fewer points.
Matchup/League Facts
- Michigan ranks T20th among Division 1 teams for opponent blocks per game this season (2.5).
- Michigan ranks 38th among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (40.9%).
- UC San Diego ranks 1st among Division 1 teams for opponent assist-to-turnover ratio this season (0.68).
- UC San Diego ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for point differential per game this season (+18.3).
Michigan vs UC San Diego Injury Report
UC San Diego doesn’t have a player listed on its injury report. Michigan will be without Sam Walters, while Roddy Gayle Jr. is questionable with a hamstring injury.
Michigan vs UC San Diego Prediction
This line shows a lot of respect toward a UC San Diego team that hasn’t lost a game in two months and is extremely balanced. UC San Diego is a top-100 offense and defense in the country and should have a decent fan base show up with this game on the West Coast.
However, let’s pump the brakes just a bit. Michigan found its swagger by stealing the Big Ten Tournament and should be feeling good about itself. Dusty May was a great tournament coach at FAU, and he’s picking up where he left off now with Michigan. UC San Diego is 25-7 ATS on the season, which makes it even more attractive, but I’m going to lay the bucket with the Wolverines on Thursday night.
