Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction 3/14/26 College Basketball Picks Today

The Wisconsin Badgers and the Michigan Wolverines meet Saturday in Big Ten Tournament college basketball action from the United Center in Chicago. Here’s a Michigan vs Wisconsin prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Michigan vs Wisconsin pick.

Wisconsin Badgers Betting Preview

The Badgers logged 14 wins over their first 19 games out of the gate, then posted an even stretch over the next four with losses to USC and Indiana. A 3-2 record came after that with wins over Illinois, Michigan State and Iowa among losses to Ohio State and Oregon. It’s been all victories over the last five, as the Badgers have taken out Washington, Maryland, Purdue, Washington again and Illinois for a 24-9 record this year.

On Friday in the tournament matchup versus Illinois, the Badgers were sitting in the locker room with a 36-30 deficit. Wisconsin fought back late in the game on a 48-42 run and forced overtime. After the extra period, the Badgers had a comeback victory 91-88 to keep things going. Wisconsin’s Nicholas Boyd finished with 38 pitons and six assists alongside five rebounds while John Blackwell added 31 points with six rebounds.

Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview

Over on the Michigan side, they opened with a 14-game win streak this year ahead of a loss to Wisconsin on January 10. After that came victories versus Washington, Oregon, Indiana, Ohio State, Nebraska and Michigan State in the next six, then victories versus Penn State, Ohio State, Northwestern, UCLA and Purdue. After another loss to Duke came wins over Minnesota, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan State and Ohio State for the Wolverines.

Matched up against the Buckeyes in their Friday tournament game, Michigan came back out onto the floor after halftime with a 39-35 edge. The Wolverines kept the pace going on a 32-32 run the rest of the way and ended up with a 71-67 win in the end to move on. Leading the team in scoring was Aday Mara with 17 points and seven boards while Elliot Cadeau had 15 points with seven assists.

Wisconsin Badgers @ Michigan Wolverines Betting Trends: March 14, 2026

Why the Michigan Wolverines will win

• Michigan has won each of its last 16 games against Conference opponents.
• Wisconsin has lost five of its last six games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue.
• Michigan has won the first half in each of its last seven day games as a top-3 AP-ranked team.

Why the Wisconsin Badgers will win

• Wisconsin has won each of its last five games.
• Michigan has lost each of its last five Saturday games as a top-10 AP-ranked team against an AP-ranked team.
• Wisconsin has won the first half in eight of its last nine March day games as an AP-ranked team.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Wisconsin’s last 10 games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents at a neutral venue have produced a total of 151 or fewer points.
• Seventeen of Michigan’s last 18 games against Conference opponents at neutral venues have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Michigan is one of only two teams to reach the Sweet 16 in each of its last five NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Michigan ranks 2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent field goal percentage this season (38.0%).
• Wisconsin ranks T2nd among Division 1 teams for opponent steals per game this season (4.7).
• Wisconsin ranks 6th among Division 1 teams for three-point field goals made per game this season (11.6).

Michigan vs Wisconsin Prediction

I’ll stay with the Wolverines. Michigan put together a nice effort in their win Friday over a good Ohio State team, eventually shooting 45.3 percent from the field while holding the Buckeyes to just 37.9 percent on defense. Michigan had a 34-28 edge on points in the paint and bagged 19 points off 10 Ohio State turnovers. The Wolverines are 16-1 in their last 17 games and playing great basketball right now. Over this current five-game win streak, Michigan has posted at least 71 points in every outing.

These teams last met way back on January 10 in a tough 91-88 home loss for Michigan. In that one the Wolverines shot a nice 46.8 percent from the field and 91.7 percent (22-of-24) from the line. Michigan had a 38-26 advantage in the paint and just nine turnovers. Trouble is, the Wolverines also gave up 50 percent shooting from the field on defense and 45.5 percent (15-of-33) from outside. Wisconsin will come into this one with a ton of confidence, so Michigan needs to set the tone early. Should be a fun matchup to watch.