Minnesota vs Penn State Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 2/18/23

The Penn State Nittany Lions and the Minnesota Golden Gophers meet in college basketball action from the Williams Arena on Saturday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Penn State is listed as an 8.5-point road favorite with a ML price of -385. The total for this game is set at 133.5 points.

Injuries

For Penn State, Caleb Dorsey is questionable for this game with an undisclosed injury, while Minnesota has Braeden Carrington listed as out with a leg injury while Dawson Garcia is out indefinitely with an ankle injury.

Matchup History

Penn State’s 60-51 win over Minnesota back on March 9^th, 2022, made it back-to-back wins for Penn State and eight straight wins for the home team in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

Penn State 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record and 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record below .400 while the over is 5-1 in their last 6 games overall. Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games while the under is 10-4 in their last 14 games overall.

Pick

I’m backing the under in this one. Minnesota’s offense has been near non-existent this season, especially at home for whatever reason, and Penn State, while coming off of a solid win over Illinois, has not performed overly well on the road. Rather than try to trust either side to do their job here, I’ll just roll with the under.