Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction 2/18/26 College Basketball Picks Today
Auburn (14-11) vs. Mississippi State (12-13)
February 18, 2026 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State +4.5; Over/Under: 154.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Auburn Tigers and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Wednesday in college basketball action at the Humphrey Coliseum. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction. This article will include a Mississippi State vs Auburn Pick.
Auburn Tigers Betting Preview
The Auburn Tigers lost to Vanderbilt and Arkansas, and they play Kentucky next. Auburn has lost 4 straight games.
The Auburn Tigers are averaging 87.5 points on 46 percent shooting and allowing 82.4 points on 45.7 percent shooting. Keyshawn Hall is averaging 20.7 points and 2.7 assists, while Tahaad Pettiford is averaging 14.7 points and 2.9 rebounds. Kevin Overton is the third double-digit scorer and KeShawn Murphy is grabbing 7 rebounds. The Auburn Tigers are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 74.2 percent from the free throw line. The Auburn Tigers are allowing 35.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.7 rebounds per game.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview
The Mississippi State Bulldogs beat Ole Miss, lost to Tennessee, and they play South Carolina next. Mississippi State has lost 8 of its last 10 games.
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 77.4 points on 44.7 percent shooting and allowing 78.4 points on 43 percent shooting. Josh Hubbard is averaging 21.4 points and 3.6 assists, while Jayden Epps is averaging 14.3 points and 2.7 rebounds. Quincy Ballard is grabbing 6.2 rebounds and Ja’Borri McGhee is dishing 1.8 assists. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 31.3 percent from beyond the arc and 67.7 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 30.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Auburn has lost each of its last four games.
- Mississippi State has won 18 of its last 22 games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Auburn has lost the first half in each of its last four night games.
Why the Auburn Tigers will win
- Auburn has won 36 of its last 40 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Mississippi State has lost each of its last five home games.
- Auburn has won the first half in 35 of its last 40 night games against non-AP-ranked opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last eight games between Auburn and Mississippi State have produced a total of 154 or fewer points.
- Each of Auburn’s last five games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Humphrey Coliseum have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
Mississippi State vs Auburn Prediction
I’m not excited to back Auburn, a team that’s lost 4 straight games and is 2-5 SU on the road. However, Auburn is still the better team, and it’s not like Mississippi State is lighting the world on fire. Mississippi State has lost 6 times at home, struggles offensively outside of Hubbard, and is 9-16 ATS on the season. It feels like Auburn needed a soft game to right the ship, and while Starkville has its moments, this is one of those spots. If Auburn doesn’t win this game, it’s time to hit the panic button on the remainder of the season.
