College Basketball Picks

Mississippi State vs Florida Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 1/21/23

Florida Gators (10-8) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-6)
January 21, 2023 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2 / Florida Gators +2; Over/Under: +125.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Florida Gators and Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college basketball action at the Humphrey Coliseum. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

The Florida Gators Preview

The Florida Gators are averaging 72.9 points on 44 percent shooting and allowing 65.7 points on 40 percent shooting. Colin Castleton is averaging 14.9 points and 8.1 rebounds, while Will Richard is averaging 10.1 points and 4.3 rebounds. Kowacie Reeves is grabbing 3.2 rebounds and Kyle Lofton is grabbing 2.4 rebounds. The Florida Gators are shooting 33 percent from beyond the arc and 75.1 percent from the free throw line. The Florida Gators are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.3 rebounds per game.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are averaging 65.3 points on 40.5 percent shooting and allowing 58.2 points on 38.9 percent shooting. Tolu Smith is averaging 13.8 points and 1.6 assists, while DJ Jeffries is averaging 9.3 points and 6.2 rebounds. Dashawn Davis is dishing 3.3 assists and Cameron Matthews is grabbing 5.1 rebounds. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are shooting 28.7 percent from beyond the arc and 61.3 percent from the free throw line. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 31.7 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game.

Trends

The Bulldogs are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The under is 9-1 in Gators last 10 overall. The under is 13-6 in Bulldogs last 19 overall. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The home team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

Randy’s Free Pick

The Florida Gators have the ability to steal a game like this on the road because of their defense, but they’re so hit or miss offensively that they’re hard to trust. We just saw Florida a couple of days ago miss everything in the first half. Mississippi State has a little more balance to its attack and wins at home by an average of 13.9 points. I’ll lay the bucket with the home team.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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