Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction 2/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Florida Gators and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Tuesday in college basketball action from Humphrey Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction.

Florida Recap

The Florida Gators come into this game looking to add on to their 90-81 win over Auburn last time out to improve to 20-3 on the year. After this game, Florida will head home for a game against South Carolina.

Gators Win Back-To-Back Games After Huge Auburn Win

Walter Clayton Jr. leads the Gators in scoring and assists with 17.4 PPG and 3.8 APG along with 3.3 RPG while Alijah Martin has 15.3 PPG with 4.9 RPG and 2.6 APG. Will Richard has 13.4 PPG with 5 RPG and 1.9 SPG and Alex Condon’s added 10.8 PPG with a team-high 8 RPG to lead Florida on the glass and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Florida so far this season. Thomas Haugh also has 7.5 PPG with 6 RPG, Denzel Aberdeen has 7.4 PPG with 2 RPG and Rueben Chinyelu has 6.7 RPG as well on the year. As a team, Florida is averaging 83.4 PPG on 46.6% shooting from the field, 33.9% from three, and 71.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Florida Gators will win

• Florida has won 15 of its last 16 night games.
• Mississippi State has lost 18 of its last 20 night games against AP-ranked opponents.

Mississippi State Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 76-75 win over Georgia last time out to improve to 17-6 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will head back on the road for a rematch against rival Ole Miss.

Bulldogs Looking For Another W For Momentum

Josh Hubbard leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 17.6 PPG and 3 APG while Claudell Harris Jr. has 10.4 PPG. KeShawn Murphy has 11 PPG with 7.2 RPG to lead the Bulldogs in rebounding up to this point in the year and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Riley Kugel has 9.7 PPG with 2.7 RPG and RJ Melendez also has 8.7 PPG with 4.2 RPG while Cameron Matthews has 7.5 PPG with 6.9 RPG and a team-high 3.9 APG to lead the Bulldogs in assists. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 79.9 PPG on 45.6% shooting from the field, 32% from three, and 69.4% from the foul line this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won 24 of its last 32 games at Humphrey Coliseum.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the last nine games between Florida and Mississippi State have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.
• Six of Florida’s last seven night games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 166+ points.

Mississippi State vs Florida Prediction

I’m leaning towards Mississippi State here. I get the case to be made for Florida as the Gators have passed pretty much every eye test up to this point in the year and have looked like a contender the entire time and the win over Auburn I’d imagine only adds to that. However, This is a bad spot for Florida, head on the road for back-to-back road games after that massive win, against a Mississippi State team that could use a big win like this to strengthen their NCAA tournament resume and aim for a higher seed come March. I’ll take a shot on Mississippi State at home in this one.