Kentucky Wildcats (16-9) vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-8)
February 15, 2023 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5 / Kentucky Wildcats +2.5; Over/Under: +128.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Kentucky Wildcats and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet in college basketball action from the Humphrey Coliseum on Wednesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.
Mississippi State is listed as a 2.5-point home favorite with a ML price of -140. The total for this game is set at 128.5 points.
For Kentucky, Connor Fredrick is questionable for this game with a rib injury while Sahvir Wheeler is out until late February with an ankle injury.
Kentucky’s 82-74 win over Mississippi State back on January 25th, 2022, made it 16 wins in the last 17 meetings between these two teams.
Kentucky is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against a team with a winning record and 8-16-2 ATS in their last 28 road games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Mississippi State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win while the over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games against a team with a winning record.
I’m backing the over here. This total just feels too low considering that Kentucky’s scoring over 71 PPG in their last 5 games while Mississippi State’s scoring 69.4 PPG at home. I think Kentucky does their fair share of scoring and it’s going to be up to Mississippi State to match it. Give me the over.