Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction 3/1/25 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Mississippi State vs LSU prediction for this College Basketball game on Saturday, March 1st at the Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville, Mississippi. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Basketball matchup.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 19-9 (7-8) this season after they lost to Alabama by a score of 111-73 in their last game. Mississippi State trailed 53-27 at halftime and they allowed 58 more points in the second half in the blowout loss. The Bulldogs shot 38.4% from the field, 20% on three pointers, and 73.3% on free throws in the game. Josh Hubbard led Mississippi State with 21 points and four assists, while KeShawn Murphy added 18 points and 11 rebounds in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Bulldogs lost to Oklahoma by a score of 93-87, but did beat Texas A&M by a score of 70-54 before that. Mississippi State has lost three of their last five games and they are currently ninth in the SEC standings with a 7-8 record. Mississippi State has scored 79.0 points per game and they have allowed 73.3 points against per game, while also averaging 38.5 rebounds and 15.4 assists per game this year. Josh Hubbard is averaging 18.0 points, 2.3 rebounds, and 3.4 assists per game, while KeShawn Murphy is averaging 11.6 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 1.7 assists per game this year. Mississippi State is shooting 45.1% from the field, 69.4% on free throws, and 31.2% on three pointers this season. 

LSU Tigers Betting Preview

The LSU Tigers are 14-14 (3-12) this year after they lost to Tennessee by a score of 65-59 in their last game. LSU trailed 26-23 at halftime and allowed 39 points in the second half in the loss. The Tigers shot 41.2% from the field, 25.9% on three pointers, and 62.5% on free throws in the game. Vyctorius Miller led LSU with 17 points and three rebounds, while Cam Carter added 12 points and two assists in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Tigers lost to Florida by a score of 79-65, but did beat South Carolina by a score of 81-67 prior to that. LSU has lost nine of their last eleven games and they are currently second to last in the SEC standings with a 3-12 record. LSU has scored 75.6 points per game and they have allowed 72.2 points against per game, while also averaging 36.4 rebounds and 13.3 assists per game this season. Cam Carter is averaging 16.7 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game, while Jordan Sears is averaging 11.8 points, 2.8 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game this year. LSU is shooting 45.3% from the field, 72.5% on free throws, and 31.4% on three pointers this season. 

Why LSU will beat Mississippi State

• Mississippi State has lost three of its last four home games.
• The road team has won three of LSU’s last four games.
• The road team has won the first half in seven of Mississippi State’s last nine games.

Total Points Facts

• Seven of Mississippi State’s last eight games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 149+ points.
• Each of LSU’s last three games against AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 144 or fewer points.

Mississippi State vs LSU Prediction 

LSU comes into this game looking to maintain a little bit of momentum after playing decently well over their last four games. The Tigers have two wins against South Carolina and Oklahoma in that span, while also playing Florida and Tennessee pretty tough, but they will be on the road here. LSU has scored 65 points or fewer in three of their last five games, but will take on a Mississippi State defense that has allowed 111 and 93 points in their last two games. The Bulldogs are currently ranked #24 in the country, but they haven’t been great over the last four weeks. I do expect Mississippi State to get the win in this matchup, but I do think LSU can keep it close, as they are playing with some confidence. Take LSU and the points here.