Mississippi State vs Memphis Prediction 12/20/25 College Basketball Picks Today

The Memphis Tigers and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Humphrey Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Memphis Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction.

Memphis Tigers Recap

The Memphis Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from their 77-70 loss at the hands of Vanderbilt last time out to sit at 4-6 this season. After this game, Memphis will head home for a game against Alabama State.

Tigers Lose Back-To-Back Games

Dug McDaniel leads the Tigers in scoring and assists with 14.5 PPG and 5.5 APG along with 3.2 RPG while Sincere Parker has 10.2 PPG with 3.3 RPG as the only other double-digit scorer for Memphis up to this point in the year. Julius Thedford has 9 PPG with a team-high 5.1 RPG to lead Memphis in rebounding and Hasan Abdul Hakim has 9.5 PPG with 4.8 RPG and Zach Davis has 8 PPG with 4.8 RPG as well this season. As a team, Memphis is averaging 75.1 PPG on 42.2% shooting from the field, 30.9% from three and 71% from the foul line this season.

Why the Memphis Tigers will win

• Memphis has won each of its last eight games after coming off overtime.
• Mississippi State has lost three of its last four day games.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recap

The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 87-83 win over LIU last time out to sit at 6-5 this season. After this game, the Bulldogs will also play host to Alabama State.

Bulldogs Win Back-To-Back Games

Josh Hubbard leads Mississippi State in scoring and assists with 21.6 PPG and 3.9 APG along with 2.7 RPG while Jayden Epps has 16.7 PPG with 2 APG and Ja’Borri McGhee has 10.2 PPG with 2.5 RPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Quincy Ballard’s also chipped in 7 PPG and a team-high 6.8 RPG to lead the Bulldogs on the glass. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 79.5 PPG on 45% shooting from the field, 32.9% from three and 68.2% from the foul line this season.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

• Mississippi State has won 17 of its last 18 day games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
• Memphis has lost four of its last five games against the Southeastern Conference.

Total Points Facts

• Seventeen of Mississippi State’s last 18 day games against non-AP-ranked opponents at Humphrey Coliseum have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
• Three of Memphis’ last four games against non-AP-ranked opponents have produced a total of 149 or fewer points.

Memphis Tigers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs Prediction

I’m on the Memphis Tigers here. I just think that Penny Hardaway is a coach that you back as an underdog and fade as a favorite, and Mississippi State just hasn’t been convincing for much of the season. Sure, this is a true home game, but Memphis was really impressive in that last game against a really good Vanderbilt team and I think they’re live to win this game outright. Give me Memphis and the points.