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Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction 2/18/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Texas A&M (20-5) vs. Mississippi State (18-7)
February 18, 2025 7:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State -2.5 ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)

The Texas A&M Aggies and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Tuesday in college basketball action from Humphrey Coliseum. Here’s a Mississippi State vs Texas A&M prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Mississippi State vs Texas A&M pick.

Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview

The Aggies have been a highly consistent team so far this year. They’ve got just one instance of consecutive losses in the books. Texas A&M started out on a 4-2 run with wins over East Texas A&M, Lamar, Ohio State, and Southern during that time. The Aggies would hit a winning streak after that, taking out Creighton, Rutgers, Wake Forest, Texas Tech, Purdue, Houston Christian, Abilene Christian, Texas, and Oklahoma. Following losses to Alabama, Kentucky, and Texas over the next five games (with wins over LSU and Ole Miss in that time), the Aggies have since won another five straight. Those victories have come courtesy of Oklahoma, South Carolina, Missouri, Georgia, and Arkansas in succession. Overall through 25 games that gives Texas A&M a 20-5 record so far this season.


In the Saturday matchup with Arkansas, Texas A&M was ahead 33-28 by the break. The Aggies came out of the locker room to a 36-33 advantage and took the eventual win 69-61 in the end. Leading the team in scoring was Wade Taylor with 18 points, nine assists, three steals, and one rebound in 35 minutes. Zhuric Phelps added 12 points with nine rebounds and four steals with one assist, and Andersson Garcia led the bench scoring with his 11 points, three assists, five rebounds, and two steals in 26 minutes of work on the floor.

Mississippi State Bulldogs Betting Preview

Over on the Mississippi State side, they were looking great in the record column back in early January but since then they’ve struggled amid some tough matchups. The Bulldogs lost just one of their first 15 games (versus Butler). Otherwise, it was wins over West Georgia, Georgia State, SE Louisiana, Utah, SMU, UNLV, Pitt, Prairie View, McNeese, Central Michigan, Memphis, Bethune-Cookman, South Carolina, and Vanderbilt in that time. Since then it’s been a 4-6 run across the last 10 games for the Bulldogs. The wins have come over Ole Miss, South Carolina, Georgia, and Ole Miss again. Otherwise, it was losses to Kentucky, Auburn, Tennessee, Alabama, Missouri, and Florida at that time. That gives the Bulldogs an 18-7 record so far through their first 25 games of the 2024-25 campaign.

Matched up against Ole Miss in the road rematch over the weekend, the Bulldogs held a 40-33 edge in the locker room. Mississippi State kept it up from there with a 41-38 run and took the eventual win 81-71. RJ Melendez led the team in scoring with 17 points, five rebounds, and a steal. Josh Hubbard bagged 14 points with five rebounds and four assists, and Riley Kugel had 11 points with three rebounds, three assists, and four steals. KeShawn Murphy and Claudell Harris each had 10 points off the bench as well.

Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win

  • The home team has won each of the last three games between Texas A&M and Mississippi State.
  • Texas A&M has lost three of its last four games at Humphrey Coliseum.
  • Texas A&M has lost the first half in each of its last four games at Humphrey Coliseum.

Why the Texas A&M Aggies will win

  • Mississippi State has lost each of its last six night games against Top 10 AP-ranked opponents.
  • The road team has won each of Mississippi State’s last six games.
  • Texas A&M has won the first half in five of its last six games against the Southeastern Conference.

Mississippi State vs Texas A&M Prediction

I’ll take a stab at Mississippi State here. You could make an argument either way, though; we should have a fun matchup in-store. The Bulldogs put up another solid win over a good Ole Miss team in their last outing, posting a 48-36 rebounding edge, 38.3 percent shooting allowed from the field, and 15 points off 11 turnovers. It wasn’t perfect though, as the Bulldogs missed nine of their 27 free throws (66.7 percent) and had 13 turnovers themselves. Still, it was a nice bounce-back after a double-digit loss at home versus Florida last week.

As for Texas A&M, they’re sitting on a five-game win streak but they’ve been below 70 points in three straight games. This one’s looking like a pretty close fight, and I like Mississippi State to power it out in the end.

Andrew's Free Pick: Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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