Mississippi State vs Texas Prediction 3/4/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Texas (16-13) vs. Mississippi State (20-9)
March 4, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Mississippi State -7.5; Over/Under: 151.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Texas Longhorns and the Mississippi State Bulldogs meet Tuesday in college basketball action from Humphrey Coliseum. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Texas vs. Mississippi State prediction.
Matchup History
These two teams have not met yet this season, and the last meeting between these two teams was back in 2012.
Texas Recap
The Texas Longhorns come into this game looking to bounce back from an 87-63 loss to Georgia last time out to slip to 16-13 on the year. After this game, Texas will head home to finish the regular season at home against Oklahoma.
Longhorns Lose Third Straight At Worst Time
Tre Johnson leads the Longhorns in scoring with 20.6 PPG along with 3.1 RPG and 2.6 APG while Arthur Kaluma has 12.8 PPG with a team-high 7.9 RPG to lead the Longhorns in rebounding. And Jordan Pope has 10.7 PPG to cap off the trio of double-digit scorers for Texas so far this season. Tramon Mark has 9.3 PPG with 3.6 RPG and Kadin Shedrick has 8.4 PPG with 6.1 RPG as well this year. Julian Larry is also contributing 5 PPG with a team-high 3.3 APG to lead the Longhorns in the assist department up to this point in the year. As a team, Texas is averaging 78 PPG on 46.5% shooting from the field, 35.8% from three, and 75% from the foul line this season.
Why the Texas Longhorns will win
- Mississippi State has lost four of its last five night games against the Southeastern Conference at Humphrey Coliseum.
- Texas has won four of its last five road games following a home loss.
Mississippi State Recap
The Mississippi State Bulldogs come into this game looking to add on to their 81-69 win over LSU last time out to sit at 20-9 on the year. After this game, Mississippi State will head on the road to close out the regular season against Arkansas.
Bulldogs Looking To Keep Momentum Going
Josh Hubbard leads the Bulldogs in scoring with 18.4 PPG and 3.3 APG while Claudell Harris Jr. has 10 PPG. KeShawn Murphy has 11.6 PPG with 7.6 RPG to lead the Bulldogs in rebounding up to this point in the year and to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Mississippi State up to this point in the year. Riley Kugel has 9.3 PPG with 2.9 RPG and RJ Melendez also has 8.6 PPG with 4.3 RPG while Cameron Matthews has 7.1 PPG with 6.8 RPG and a team-high 3.7 APG to lead the Bulldogs in assists. As a team, Mississippi State is averaging 79.1 PPG on 45.4% shooting from the field, 31.2% from three, and 69.5% from the foul line this season.
Why the Mississippi State Bulldogs will win
- Mississippi State has won each of its last 11 games at Humphrey Coliseum against non-AP-ranked opponents.
- Texas has lost six of its last seven games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Mississippi State’s last four home games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 150 or fewer points.
- Five of Texas’ last six games against Conference opponents have produced a total of 153+ points.
Texas vs. Mississippi State Prediction
I’m with Mississippi State here. I get the case to be made for Texas as we’re almost at the point of no return for the Longhorns here. They are in dire need of a win to strengthen their resume in the eyes of the NCAA tournament committee. That being said, I’m personally done with Texas as this team has done nothing but disappoint and I think they’re simply overrated and overvalued at this point. Give me Mississippi State here.
