Missouri State vs. Valparaiso Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 2/1/23

The Valparaiso Beacons and the Missouri State Bears meet in college basketball action from the Great Southern Bank Arena on Wednesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Missouri State is listed as a 10.5-point home favorite with a ML price of -600. The total for this game is set at 131.5 points.

Injuries

For Valparaiso, Preston Ruedinger is out for the season with a shoulder injury while Missouri State has a clean injury report coming into this game.

Matchup History

Missouri State’s 67-58 win over Valparaiso back on March 4^th, 2022, made it six straight wins for the Bears in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

Valparaiso is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Missouri State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Pick

I get the case to be made either way here, but I’m leaning towards the Beacons and the points. Mainly because I feel that while Missouri State is the better team here, this is just a case of too many points. Valparaiso has been able to keep things respectable in some of their recent games and I think this one ends up being no different. I’ll take a shot at Valparaiso and the points here.