College Basketball Picks

Missouri State vs. Valparaiso Pick – Basketball Predictions & Odds 2/1/23

Valparaiso Beacons (10-13) vs. Missouri State Bears (11-11)
February 1, 2023 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri State Bears -10.5 / Valparaiso Beacons +10.5; Over/Under: +131.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Valparaiso Beacons and the Missouri State Bears meet in college basketball action from the Great Southern Bank Arena on Wednesday night. Let’s dive into the odds, injuries, matchup history and make a prediction for this game.


Missouri State is listed as a 10.5-point home favorite with a ML price of -600. The total for this game is set at 131.5 points.


For Valparaiso, Preston Ruedinger is out for the season with a shoulder injury while Missouri State has a clean injury report coming into this game.

Matchup History

Missouri State’s 67-58 win over Valparaiso back on March 4th, 2022, made it six straight wins for the Bears in this head-to-head matchup.


Valparaiso is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games against a team with a home winning percentage above .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall. Missouri State is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.


I get the case to be made either way here, but I’m leaning towards the Beacons and the points. Mainly because I feel that while Missouri State is the better team here, this is just a case of too many points. Valparaiso has been able to keep things respectable in some of their recent games and I think this one ends up being no different. I’ll take a shot at Valparaiso and the points here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Valparaiso +10.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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