Missouri State vs Valparaiso Prediction 1-1-25 College Basketball Picks

The Valparaiso Beacons and the Missouri State Bears meet Saturday in college basketball action from the Great Southern Bank Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri State vs Valparaiso Prediction.

Valparaiso Recap

The Valparaiso Beacons come into this game looking to bounce back from an 81-75 loss to Bradley last time out to fall to 7-6 on the year. After this game, Valparaiso will head home for a matchup with Northern Iowa.

Beacons Looking To Rebound

Cooper Schwieger leads the Beacons in scoring and rebounding with 13.6 PPG and 7.5 RPG while Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro has 12.6 PPG with 2.3 APG. Tyler Schmidt has 11.6 PPG and All Wright has 10.3 PPG and 2.9 APG to round out the group of double-digit scorers for Valparaiso so far this season. Darius DeAveiro has a team-high 3.2 APG to lead the Beacons in assists while Devon Ellis has 8.7 PPG with 3.5 RPG. As a team, Valparaiso is averaging 80 PPG on 43.6% shooting from the field, 33.7% from three, and 79.9% from the foul line this season.

Why the Valparaiso Beacons will win

• Missouri State has lost each of its last five night games against the Missouri Valley Conference.

Missouri State Recap

The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to get back on track after being stifled in a 57-40 loss to Evansville last time out. After this game, Missouri State will head on the road for a matchup with Bradley.

Bears Looking To Kickstart Offense

Dez White leads the Bears in scoring and assists with 17.8 PPG and 2.8 APG along with 3.1 RPG while Vincent Brady II has 12.8 PPG with 5.4 RPG. Zaxton King has 10 PPG with 2.9 RPG and Michael Osei-Bonsu has 10.2 PPG with 7.8 RPG as well to lead the Bears on the glass and to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Missouri State up to this point in the year. Jalen Hampton’s added 8.8 PPG with 7.8 RPG share the Bears’ team lead in rebounding. Chase Martin chipped in 7.5 PPG as well for the Bears this season. As a team, Missouri State is averaging 72.3 PPG on 43.3% shooting from the field, 36% from three, and 68.6% from the foul line this season.

Why the Missouri State Bears will win

• Valparaiso has lost each of its last 15 night games against the Missouri Valley Conference.
• Missouri State has won each of its last nine games against Valparaiso.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Valparaiso’s last 13 Wednesday games against the Missouri Valley Conference has produced a total of 142+ points.
• Seven of Missouri State’s last eight night games against the Missouri Valley Conference have produced a total of 148+ points.

Missouri State vs Valparaiso Prediction

I’m on Missouri State in this one. I still am sticking to my laurels that Valpo is the worst team in the MVC this season, and I think Missouri State’s horrendous offensive showing against Evansville was a one-off more than anything else. It’s a tight line, so things could end up getting a bit interesting late, but I trust the Bears more defensively in this matchup and head-to-head, Missouri State’s won the last 9 head-to-head meetings between these two teams. I need to see more from Valparaiso before buying into this team, so give me Missouri State at home laying the points in this one.