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Missouri vs Alabama Prediction 2/19/25 College Basketball Picks Today

Alabama (21-4) vs. Missouri (19-6)
February 19, 2025 9:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri +1.5; Over/Under: 171.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Alabama Crimson Tide and the Missouri Tigers meet Wednesday in college basketball action from Mizzou Arena. Here’s a Missouri vs Alabama prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Missouri vs Alabama pick.

Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Preview

The Crimson Tide have done quite well this year overall, with only a few scattered losses versus some difficult opponents in the books. Alabama opened up on a 6-2 run with losses to Purdue and Oregon among wins versus UNC Asheville, Arkansas State, McNeese State, Illinois, Houston, and Rutgers. A win streak over North Carolina, Creighton, North Dakota, Kent State, South Dakota State, Oklahoma, South Carolina, and Texas A&M came next, then a loss to Ole Miss. The Tide would then take out Kentucky, Vanderbilt, LSU, Mississippi State, Georgia, Arkansas, and Texas over the next seven games before a loss to rival Auburn. Overall that gives the Crimson Tide a 21-4 record in their first 25 games of the year so far.


Matched up against Auburn in their Saturday outing, the Tide were down 42-33 going into the second half. Alabama held the pace from there on a 52-52 run but still took the loss at the end 94-85. Mark Sears led the way in the losing effort with 18 points and two assists, while Grant Nelson doubled up on 12 points with 12 boards and one assist. Clifford Omoruyi had 12 rebounds and eight points, while both Labaron Philon and Aden Holloway led the bench scoring 10 points apiece.

Missouri Tigers Betting Preview

Over on the Tigers’ side, they’ve had quite the solid season themselves with relatively few losses. Missouri fell to Memphis in their opener then took out Howard, Eastern Washington, MS Valley State, Pacific, AR-Pine Bluff, Lindenwood, Cal, Kansas, Long Island U, and Jacksonville State. A 1-2 run with a win over Alabama State in between losses to Illinois and Auburn came next, then wins over LSU, Vanderbilt, Florida, and Arkansas. After another loss to Texas, the Tigers hit a 4-2 run. Those losses were versus Tennessee and Texas A&M. Otherwise it was wins over Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Oklahoma, and Georgia in that time. The result so far has been a 19-6 overall run across the first 25 games of the season.

In the Georgia matchup on Saturday, the Tigers opened up on a 41-38 deficit in the first half. Missouri woke up from there on a 49-33 run and took the eventual win at the end 87-74, however. Anthony Robinson led the starters with 15 points, seven assists, five rebounds, and four steals in 26 minutes. Caleb Grill also had 15 points off the bench alongside five rebounds and four steals in 28 minutes on the floor. Mark Mitchell added 14 points with five rebounds and two assists, and Tamar Bates chipped in 13 points with three boards.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

  • Missouri has won each of its last 10 night games at Mizzou Arena.
  • Alabama has lost three of its last four games at Mizzou Arena.
  • Missouri has won the first half in nine of its last 10 night games at Mizzou Arena.

Why the Alabama Crimson Tide will win

  • Alabama has won each of its last eight road games.
  • Missouri has lost nine of its last 10 night games against Top 5 AP-ranked opponents.
  • Alabama has won the first half in each of its last six road games against the Southeastern Conference.

Missouri vs Alabama Prediction

I’m going to stick with Alabama here. The Tide are coming off a rough loss to a very good Auburn team though, and they’ll need to get back on the horse quickly. Alabama shot just 38.6 percent from the field and 19.2 percent (5-of-26) from 3-point range in that defeat, giving up 46.2 percent on the other side. The good news is that the Tide were good on the boards with a 49-40 edge and had just seven turnovers. Alabama has scored 80 or more points in eight straight games now, a 7-1 overall run.

As for Missouri, they started pretty slowly against Georgia but everything worked out well in the end. The Tigers did give up 52.5 percent shooting in the win, though. Missouri has now scored a combined 169 points in their last pair of games, and they’ll likely need to keep that going if they’re going to steal a win here. I like a competitive matchup overall but in the end, I think Alabama takes the cover. Should be a fun one to watch.

Andrew's Free Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -1.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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