Missouri vs Alabama State Prediction 12/11/25 College Basketball Picks Today
Alabama State (3-6) vs. Missouri (8-2)
December 11, 2025 8:00 pm EDT
The Line: Missouri -26.5; Over/Under: 157.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Alabama State Hornets and the Missouri Tigers meet Thursday in college basketball action from the Mizzou Arena. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Missouri vs Alabama State Prediction.
Alabama State Hornets Recap
The Alabama State Hornets come into this game looking to shake off a 93-87 loss at the hands of New Mexico last time out to sit at 3-5 this season. After this game, Alabama State will head on the road for a game against Cincinnati.
Hornets Drop 4 Of Last 5 Games
Asjon Anderson leads the Hornets in scoring and assists with 17.9 PPG and 4.4 APG while Micah Simpson has 16.9 PPG with 3.3 RPG and 3.3 APG as the only other double-digit scorer for Alabama State so far this season. Tyler Byrd has 9.4 PPG with 3.2 RPG while Jerquarius Stanback has 7.7 PPG with 4.7 RPG and Trey Miller has 7.3 PPG with 4 APG as well this season. Cameron Palesse also has 6.2 PPG with a team-high 5 RPG to lead the Hornets in rebounding this season. As a team, Alabama State is averaging 79.4 PPG on 44.8% shooting from the field, 35.9% from three and 68% from the foul line this season.
Missouri Tigers Recap
The Missouri Tigers come into this game looking to rebound from their 80-60 loss at the hands of Kansas in their last game to sit at 8-2 this season. After this game, Missouri will take on Bethune Cookman at home.
Tigers Drop Back-To-Back Games
Mark Mitchell leads the Tigers in scoring and assists with 18.4 PPG and 3 APG along with 6.2 RPG while Jayden Stone has 13.3 PPG with 4.5 RPG and 2.7 APG. Jacob Crews has 13.8 PPG with 4.8 RPG to cap off the group of double-digit scorers for Missouri up to this point in the year. Anthony Robinson II also has 9.6 PPG with 3.6 RPG and a team-high 3.2 APG to lead the Tigers in assists while Sebastian Mack has 9 PPG. Shawn Phillips Jr. has 8.9 PPG with a team-high 6.2 RPG to lead Missouri in rebounding up to this point in the year. As a team, Missouri is averaging 87.4 PPG on 52.4% shooting from the field, 36.5% from three and 68.1% from the foul line this season.
Why the Missouri Tigers will win
- Missouri has won each of its last 22 games against non-Conference opponents at Mizzou Arena.
- Alabama State has lost each of its last 11 Thursday games against non-Conference opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of Alabama State’s last six games against the Southeastern Conference Conference have produced a total of 147 or fewer points.
- Six of Missouri’s last seven night games at Mizzou Arena have produced a total of 164+ points.
Missouri vs Alabama State Prediction
I’m on the over in this game. I just think Missouri runs roughshod all over Alabama State’s Swiss cheese defense in this game, but I also think a decent effort from Alabama State helps us get up and over this number. Give me the over here.