Missouri vs Miami Prediction 3/20/26 College Basketball Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Missouri vs Miami Prediction for this NCAA Tournament 1st Round matchup on Friday, March 20^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this college basketball matchup.

Miami Hurricanes Preview

The Miami Hurricanes have a 25-8 overall record and a 13-5 record in the ACC conference. They are coming off an 84-62 loss against Virginia and their previous three games were a 78-73 win against Louisville, a 92-89 loss against Louisville and a 77-69 road win against SMU.

Offensively, Miami averages 81.9 points per game, while allowing 71.2 points per game defensively. The Hurricanes shoot with 50% from the field and grab 37.3 rebounds per game, while dishing out 16.1 assists per game. They average 3.4 blocks per game and 7.9 steals per game defensively.

Malik Reneau leads Miami in scoring, with an average of 18.8 points per game, while shooting with 54.9% from the field and 78.8% from the free throw line. Ernest Udeh Jr. is the team’s leading rebounder with 9.3 per game. Tre Donaldson leads the team in assists with 5.8 per game.

Missouri Tigers Preview

The Missouri Tigers have a 20-12 overall record and a 10-8 record in the SEC conference. They are coming off a 78-72 loss against Kentucky and their previous three games were an 88-84 loss against Arkansas, an 80-64 loss against Oklahoma and an 88-64 road win against Mississippi State.

Offensively, Missouri averages 79.7 points per game, while allowing 75.3 points per game defensively. The Tigers shoot with 49% from the field and grab 35.6 rebounds per game, while dishing out 14.1 assists per game. They average 3.5 blocks per game and 6.7 steals per game defensively.

Mark Mitchell leads Missouri in scoring, with an average of 18.3 points per game, while shooting with 55.1% from the field and 66.4% from the free throw line, adding a team-high 5.3 rebounds and a team-high 3.6 assists.

Missouri Tigers @ Miami Hurricanes Betting Trends: March 20, 2026

Why the Miami Hurricanes will win

• Miami (FL) has won each of its last 14 night games as an AP-ranked team against a non-AP-ranked team.
• Missouri has lost each of its last seven games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Missouri has lost the first half in each of its last seven games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.

Why the Missouri Tigers will win

• Miami (FL) has lost seven of its last eight games against non-Conference opponents at neutral venues.
• Missouri has won 15 of its last 18 night games against non-Conference opponents.
• Missouri has won the first half in six of its last seven night games against non-Conference opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of Missouri’s last five NCAA Tournament games have produced a total of 141 or fewer points.
• Each of Miami (FL)’s last five NCAA Tournament games against a lower seed have produced a total of 136 or fewer points.

Matchup/League Facts

• Miami (FL) is one of only four teams to reach the Elite 8 in each of its last two NCAA Tournament appearances.
• Miami (FL) ranks 8th among Division 1 teams for opponent rebounds per game this season (29.4).
• Missouri ranks 25th among Division 1 teams for field goal percentage this season (49.1%).
• Missouri ranks 37th among Division 1 teams for effective field goal percentage this season (55.5%).

Missouri vs Miami Prediction

In this Missouri vs Miami Prediction, Miami is coming as -2 favorites. Miami has been the better team this season and has also been better against the spread. They are 7-3 both straight up and against the spread in their last 10 games, while on the other hand, Missouri has three consecutive losses. Missouri has also been weaker both on the offensive and the defensive end this season, while allowing 80.3 points per game in their last nine games. I like Miami to get the job done in this one on the moneyline.